Site icon Sports from the Basement

Saratoga Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, August 6, 2020

August 6, 2020 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.


Try SFTB Plus for Free

$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.

Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!

Learn More

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Macho Jack 1.60 1.6 3-1
3 3 Love Code 8.00 2 4-1
5 5 Warfront Fighter 4.00 2 4-1
8 8 Boss Life 3.50 2.2 4-1
6 6 Cause I Said So 3.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Verify 15.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Talespin 30.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Union Charm 50.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Keota 0.80 2.4 4-1
7 6 Overheated 6.00 2.5 5-1
4 3 Grudge 4.50 2.6 5-1
6 5 Jades Gelly 3.00 2.6 5-1
5 4 Wicked Amber 8.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Bourbon ‘n Ditch 30.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Malibu Mischief 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 No More Miracles 4.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Star of the West 1.20 2.5 5-1
6 5 I Saw It All 10.00 3.6 7-1
5 4 Our American Star 12.00 3.6 7-1
4 3 Dublin Green 20.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Ridolfo 30.00 SCRATCH
7 7 My Sacred Place 1.60 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Catch a Cab 2.00 3.1 6-1
11 7 Good Old Boy 4.00 3.2 6-1
12 8 Nutzforboltz 5.00 3.8 7-1
6 4 Pipes 4.50 4.4 8-1
7 5 Mission Command 8.00 4.6 9-1
4 2 Calculated Risker 8.00 5.6 11-1
10 6 Big Mountain 15.00 7.9 15-1
5 3 Hushion 20.00 8.9 17-1
1 1 Dr. Shane 2.50 SCRATCH
3 3 Honorable Hero 12.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Curlin’s Legacy 20.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Fleet Admiral 30.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Stoney Bennett 1.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Guardian Moon 2.00 1.3 3-1
8 7 Lollygag 2.50 2 4-1
2 2 Shesadirtydancer 5.00 3.3 6-1
1A 1 Niiji 6.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Herald Angel 6.00 3.8 7-1
10 9 Going Going Gone 10.00 7.5 14-1
5 4 Bustin Bay 15.00 8.5 16-1
4A 4 Gone and Forgotten 6.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Ruby Stiletto 3.50 SCRATCH
6B 5 Chasing Cara 15.00 10.4 20-1
9B 8 Cara’s Dreamer 15.00 10.9 21-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Wicked Title 2.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 Heartstrings 10.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 La Negrita 5.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Gesture 1.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 Intoxicologist 12.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Lake Chicot 15.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Barbara P 30.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Bella Invasion 50.00 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Eliade (FR) 3.50 1.5 3-1
4 4 Hungry Kitten 5.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Dyna Passer 2.50 2.8 5-1
2 2 Tizahra 6.00 2.9 5-1
8 8 Mighty Scarlett 3.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 Pallas Athene 8.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Tass 12.00 5 9-1
1 1 Red Curls 30.00 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – New York Stallion Series S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Fresco 2.50 1.7 3-1
6 6 Jolting Joe 1.80 1.9 4-1
4 4 Turbo Drive 4.50 2.1 4-1
5 5 Dream Bigger 2.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Stuy Town Baby 20.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Zipalong 15.00 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Elusive Ruler 1.00 3 6-1
9 8 Tikhvin Flew 6.00 3.5 7-1
10 9 Swordsman 4.50 3.7 7-1
6 5 Catorat 5.00 5 10-1
1 1 Revenio 15.00 5.8 11-1
8 7 King’s Honor (IRE) 15.00 6.2 12-1
3 2 Kid Chocolate 20.00 6.7 13-1
7 6 Zelenka 20.00 7.5 14-1
4 3 Implied Volatility 20.00 7.8 15-1
2 2 Shiny Copper Penny 30.00 SCRATCH
11 11 The Rock Says 1.60 SCRATCH
12 12 Polar Bear Pete 15.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

Exit mobile version