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Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, August 15, 2020

August 15, 2020 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Jeanie B (GB) 4.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Alkeline 2.50 3.1 6-1
3 3 Sav 2.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Above All Names 8.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Western Curl 8.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Magic Spell 12.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Summerland 6.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Delightful Dreamer 3.50 3.5 7-1
8 8 Hoity Toity 6.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Jlohr Jan 4.00 4.5 8-1
1 1 Choose Hope 2.50 4.6 9-1
3 3 Itskathiesluckyday 10.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Buttered Toast 20.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Freedom Machine 8.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Pipestone 10.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Blushing Brew 20.00 7.6 14-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Dance Smartly S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Etoile (FR) 1.40 1.7 3-1
4 4 Elizabeth Way (IRE) 2.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Romantic Pursuit 4.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Theodora B. 6.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Bold Script 12.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Art of Almost 10.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Excelling 3.00 2.9 6-1
10 10 Brassy 4.50 3.1 6-1
8 8 Tapitlikeitshot 6.00 3.3 6-1
9 9 Empire Angel 4.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Icanceeclearlynow 8.00 4 8-1
3 3 Swilling 8.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Classy Gizmo 8.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Dear One 12.00 5 9-1
2 2 Mission City Girl 20.00 6 11-1
6 6 Sky Dragon 20.00 7.4 14-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Too Many Mountans 6.00 1.9 4-1
9 9 Vespolina 3.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Cool Society 4.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Miss Bobbit 2.50 2.9 5-1
5 5 She’s a Dream 10.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Piper’s Sky 8.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Curlin’s Tiger 8.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 She’s a True Fox 20.00 6.1 12-1
4 4 Touch of Rouge 20.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Day Dayenu 4.50 2.4 5-1
6 6 Samurai Queen 2.00 2.9 6-1
5 5 Weed Be Happy 4.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Our Secret Agent 2.50 3.4 6-1
3 3 Say Hey (FR) 10.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Bourbon Rebellion 8.00 4.5 8-1
7 7 La Chauffeur 20.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Stokes 20.00 6.1 12-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Bold Venture S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Pink Lloyd 0.80 3.2 6-1
8 7 White Flag 3.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Olympic Runner 5.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Malibu Secret 10.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Dun Drum 20.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Roaring Forties 20.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Magical Man 20.00 6 11-1
7 7 Smart Remark 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Plate Trial S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Clayton 0.80 2.6 5-1
4 4 Halo Again 1.80 2.6 5-1
6 6 Elusive Knight 5.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Glorious Tribute 20.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Dotted Line 12.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Northern Thunder 20.00 4.7 9-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – King Edward S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Delaware (GB) 2.50 1.5 3-1
5 5 Silent Poet 1.80 2.4 5-1
2 2 March to the Arch 4.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Mr Ritz (GB) 6.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Admiralty Pier 8.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Argentello (IRE) 15.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Eskiminzin 15.00 5 10-1
1 1 Dream Maker 20.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Woodbine Oaks

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Lasting Union 2.50 2.3 4-1
1 1 Curlin’s Voyage 3.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Merveilleux 4.00 2.8 5-1
9 9 Justleaveitalone 8.00 3.7 7-1
10 10 Infinite Patience 6.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Mizzen Beau 12.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Bayou Belle 20.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Pilot Episode 20.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Afleet Katherine 15.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 November Fog 20.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Pardsy 4.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Birchmount Rd 6.00 2.3 4-1
10 10 Muskoka Giant 3.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Artie My Boy 3.50 3 6-1
8 8 Burning Love 10.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Grazely 8.00 3.2 6-1
9 9 Enchant Me 8.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Canadian Pharoah 20.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Benlion 20.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 Red Mercury 20.00 6.8 13-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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