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Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, September 3, 2020

September 3, 2020 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Pounding Music 4.00 1.3 2-1
4 4 Runfastbaby 30.00 1.4 3-1
11 11 Rona 15.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Villamoura 15.00 5.1 10-1
12 12 Promenade Princess 20.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Factorintheheat 3.50 7.2 14-1
1 1 Ashara 12.00 7.8 15-1
2 2 Hickory Made 20.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Beckon 1.80 SCRATCH
10 10 Sidney Sue 20.00 SCRATCH
8A 8 Tiz Mine 2.50 11 21-1
3A 3 Whispurring Kitten 2.50 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Simmard Shenanigan 12.00 0.6 1-1
6 6 Polished Copper 3.00 1.3 3-1
1 1 Princess Georgia 3.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Ortinola 6.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Win Then Grin 3.50 3.5 7-1
3 3 Baby Bam Bam 2.50 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Claire’s Darling 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Fred’s Sheila 4.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 Social 3.50 1.5 3-1
2 2 Kens Lady 12.00 1.6 3-1
7 7 Netti Girl 3.50 2.2 4-1
4 4 Ms Mad Dog 15.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Queen Karma 15.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Who’s Your Daddy 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Inside Risk 4.50 1.3 3-1
10 10 Shelly Island 12.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 Dapper Mun 20.00 2 4-1
7 7 Dragon Moon 8.00 2.3 4-1
13 13 Sea Lover 2.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 Ohanzee 3.00 2.5 5-1
11 11 Time Flies By 20.00 2.9 6-1
2 2 Dizzy Sight 6.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Red Clay Road 15.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Calamity Kat 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 D C Fireman 8.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Railmaster 10.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Elenzee 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 In Him With Him 2.00 1.7 3-1
10 10 Bondurant 6.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Earned It 1.60 1.8 3-1
5 5 Posterity 6.00 2.2 4-1
9 9 Once More Eh 50.00 2.5 5-1
11 11 Aardwolf 20.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Golden Spear 2.50 SCRATCH
2 2 Beltway Bob 15.00 SCRATCH
4 4 National Honor 3.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Across the Aisle 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Eldritch (IRE) 4.50 SCRATCH
12 12 Dashing Lou 10.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Barin 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Stolen Love 6.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 Always Forgiven 4.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Itgot Grandma 4.50 1.7 3-1
1 1 Lucid Dream 6.00 1.7 3-1
6 6 Campari 5.00 1.8 3-1
8 8 Pep Talking 20.00 2 4-1
7 7 Praise the Moon 20.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Sidewalk Prophet 15.00 2.3 4-1
9 9 Souper Catch 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Daystrike 12.00 1.6 3-1
11 11 Divine Interventio 2.50 1.8 3-1
9 9 Uhwarrie Sky 20.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Rule Yourself 12.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Smart Step 2.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Cloontia 6.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Flowmotion 1.60 SCRATCH
4 4 Argentic (FR) 6.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Ismusbemyluckyday 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Bay Bridge 20.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Minister’s Strike 3.00 SCRATCH
12 12 No Knock Raid 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Miss Auramet 2.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Doctorsofmischief 20.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 S W Briar Rose 15.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Lemon Zip 6.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Dendrobia 10.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Romantic Moment 3.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Not in Jeopardy 10.00 SCRATCH
9A 9 Wild About Star 3.00 SCRATCH
5A 5 Mr. Al’s Gal 3.00 10.7 20-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Extravagant Miss 15.00 1.2 2-1
6 6 Sevilla Sangria 4.00 1.4 3-1
7 7 Lady Fox 2.50 1.5 3-1
5 5 Ran Char 6.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Thunderinthevalley 5.00 1.9 4-1
3A 3 Trellis 3.00 3.4 6-1
2A 2 Belly Flop 3.00 6.5 12-1
8 8 Worstbestideaever 8.00 12.8 24-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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