September 12, 2020 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Trixie’s Time | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Grecian Dancer | 15.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Marie From Parie | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Greasedlightning | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Majestic Pic | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rein Supreme | 2.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Burford | 15.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Jammer | 20.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Higher Purpose | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Odds On | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | More Abundance | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Phantom Ro | 3.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | I Got a Rock | 3.50 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Godlovesasinner | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Bath And Tennis (IRE) | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Yummy Bear | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Zip the Lip | 8.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kentucky Cool | 4.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Reassured | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mister Luigi | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | What the Flash | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Charlie Potatoes | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Let Us Make Gold | 20.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Limited View | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My Queen Michelle | 4.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gifted Heart | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Deep Red | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Phantom Shot | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Always Something | 12.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Muhlenberg | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Glacier Park | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Storm Tower | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fellow | 20.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Diten | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lunar Cycle | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Brown Chocolate | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | First in Line | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Curlee Fox | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Spider Bite | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Not to Ez | 5.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Point Driven | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | The Cairo Kid | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Maybe Someday | 10.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Joycee Haz Pizzaz | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | King Shawn | 30.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Aliferous | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Firth | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Si Mamacita | 12.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bring Me Answers | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Our Star | 20.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | I Love You | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ridgemont High | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Beyond Forever | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Morgan’s Z Va | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Glamorous Thunder | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Dancingwithpaynter | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Jumpstartmyheart | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Scatnap | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Vip Nation | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Nautical Nature | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Absolved | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Abuelo Paps | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jebologist | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Crush It | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Carey Times | 12.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tommy Shelby | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Commanding General | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 15 | Bean Indiscreet | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tea in China | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Scarlet’s Song | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Dial Emma Reilly | 15.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Pavla’s Mission | 12.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | All About Audrey | 15.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Lady Fox | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hope Takes Over | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Dixie’s Fascinator | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Carrot Cake | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Suzzette Star | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ran Char | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sevilla Sangria | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Mabel’s Fable | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Enyo | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Tiz Mine | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.