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Arlington Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, September 24, 2020

September 24, 2020 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Land Mark Deal 3.50 1.9 4-1
2 2 Rag Tag 1.80 2 4-1
4 4 Admiral Returns 8.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 Lemon Kick 2.00 3 6-1
1 1 Singasongsam 10.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 A Bold Ryde 20.00 4 8-1
8 8 Bird Key 12.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Royal Trumpet 30.00 4.7 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Bizzee Channel 2.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Memory Bank 5.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Cammack 3.50 3.8 7-1
4 4 Imperial Mission 6.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Sir Anthony 6.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Arrival 10.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Dazzling Truths 10.00 6 11-1
7 7 Changi 12.00 6.1 12-1
9 9 Sky Mischief 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Clarestown 2.50 1.4 3-1
8 8 Scenic Overlook 6.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Temper Tantrum 3.50 2.6 5-1
7 7 Cohen’s Curve 4.50 2.7 5-1
5 5 Pressing Concern 6.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Simple Logic 15.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Dream Keeper 12.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Altmeister 10.00 5.6 11-1
9 9 Beealea 12.00 5.9 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Fifthatnarraganset 3.50 1.9 4-1
1 1 Melissani 4.50 2.3 4-1
2 2 Eye On the Finish 4.00 2.6 5-1
8 8 Risky Risky Risky 5.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Ms Kela Time 10.00 3.7 7-1
11 11 Summer Express 10.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Hook Her Up 6.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Big Luck 15.00 4.7 9-1
9 9 U. S. Currency 15.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Godsgift 30.00 6.8 13-1
6 6 Rangoon Attack 30.00 7.4 14-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Teletap 8.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Tre Lee Divine 3.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Little Baltar 6.00 4 8-1
3 3 Stormy Pacific 5.00 4.6 9-1
9 8 Fort Commander 10.00 5.1 10-1
10 9 Tres Generaciones 12.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Joey B 8.00 5.8 11-1
12 11 Workingforaliving 12.00 6.1 12-1
2 2 Summer Disco 10.00 6.3 12-1
8 7 Barnyard Fiddler 8.00 8.1 15-1
11 10 Timingiseverything 30.00 9 17-1
7 7 Landing Gear 30.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Uncle Nearis 8.00 SCRATCH
13 12 Maximus Image 30.00 10.9 21-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Sense of Self 3.00 2.1 4-1
5 4 Stolen Glance 6.00 3 6-1
4 3 She’s Honorable 1.80 3.1 6-1
10 9 Ashleysdream 8.00 5.8 11-1
11 10 Tally Up 10.00 6.3 12-1
6 5 Blazing Ruby 20.00 6.9 13-1
12 11 Sundance Chick 20.00 7.2 14-1
9 8 Twelve Red Roses 15.00 7.4 14-1
8 7 Supreme Irene 30.00 7.9 15-1
3 2 Miss Gavel 20.00 8.2 15-1
2 1 Henrys Girl 30.00 8.2 16-1
1 1 Irrevocable Trust 12.00 SCRATCH
13 13 No Passing Zone 15.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Equally Even 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Wake Up Joe 8.00 SCRATCH
9 7 Citali 4.00 3.9 7-1
5 4 Another Richie 4.50 5.3 10-1
1 1 Follow the Signs 10.00 5.3 10-1
6 5 Nyoman 6.00 5.5 10-1
12 9 Hinton 10.00 5.6 11-1
11 8 Lee’s Luck 12.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 At Guard 6.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Four Left Feet 10.00 6.2 12-1
7 6 Battle N Away 20.00 6.8 13-1
8 8 Fort Ramsey 10.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Country Cool 30.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Not Chopped Liver 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Derby City 3.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 Azusa St. 12.00 3.4 6-1
12 10 Givin Up None 5.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Clear to Close 3.50 3.9 7-1
3 3 Magi 6.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Riding the Train 12.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Idaho Tornado 15.00 5 9-1
2 2 Last Spring 15.00 5 10-1
9 9 Will Ya Win Sum 12.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Mister Charming 15.00 5.9 11-1
10 10 Hammers Thirsty 30.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Turfmeister 15.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Lookin’ At Mike 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 10 Star of Kodiak 4.50 3.5 7-1
9 9 Clear N Convincing 3.00 3.8 7-1
12 11 Sammys Dream 10.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Richie Gary 12.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Honest to Goodness 8.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Candy Store 8.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Antarctic 10.00 5 9-1
4 4 Jeff the Lion 12.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 Tak 12.00 6.4 12-1
6 6 High Heater 15.00 6.9 13-1
2 2 Campioni 20.00 8.2 16-1
10 10 Betwithbothhands 8.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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