September 26, 2020 Pimlico Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | G Man | 1.60 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Runner Runner Indy | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gottaway | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | El Rojo | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rockin Ron | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Crescent Warrior | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Lady Blakeney | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Cajole | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Golden Glow | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Superhelpful | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 7 | Lisheen | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My Girl Blue | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Betcha by Golly | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fuchsia | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Kelly Green | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Bella Bettina | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Vesper | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Paul’s Plunder | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | I’d Like to Know | 1.60 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Malibu Heaven | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Zen Pi | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Neverfold | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Whats the Chances | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Don Ciccio | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 6 | Gins and Tins | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | I’mthetapitnow | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Back to Back | 2.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Makes Mo Cents | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 7 | Benandjoe | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Resident Liberal | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Mine to Hold | 15.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Absalom | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Mead Avenue | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Eleven It Is | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Red Clay Road | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Fantasize | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Barrel of Stout | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Yowza Yowza Yowza | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Causforcelebration | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Eric the Salesman | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Shackaboom | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Stop Talking | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Star of Shanghai | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Tam Char | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Slip Slidin | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Golden Moon Shine | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2A | 2 | Nor Per Ours | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6A | 5 | Acadian Girl | 15.00 | 11.9 | 22-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mae Sai Princess | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Magical Anna | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Can the Queen | 4.50 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Factorintheheat | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 4 | Algodonal | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Spun Glass | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Flyingontheground | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Market Money | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Carolina Ice | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | More Or Less | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Golden Can | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Chambered Bullet | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Molly Bolts | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Not My Money | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Sister Seville | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Foalsfillyspecial | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Why Not You | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | May On the Run | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Brahma Momma | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Lost in Limbo | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Oldies But Goodies | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Zyramid | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bull Shark | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Blessed Arion | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Missin the Big Dog | 15.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Axtell | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Tempt Me Twice | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Sky Magician | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Colonel Tom | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Something Magical | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | American Talent | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Runningforhome | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Colonel Juan | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Walk Away Joe | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Moonlight Shadow | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Late Breaking News | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fast Master | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Savedbythebelle | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | On the Town | 2.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Inside the Box | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mike’s Girl | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mona Luna | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Curly Ruth | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Who U Gonna Call | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Call On Clara | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Miss Chloe G | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | R V Treasure | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | La Babia | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Global Brand | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.