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Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Friday, October 16, 2020

October 16, 2020 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Elgofranco 2.50 2.3 4-1
5 5 Cassie Belle 1.20 2.5 5-1
1 1 Envy 3.50 2.7 5-1
2 2 Spanish Channel 6.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Verry Bossy 12.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Forever Free 15.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Shez Our Arch 15.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Little Miss Ellie 0.80 1.8 3-1
2 2 Jan Jan Can 5.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Rickie Nine Toe’s 2.50 3.3 6-1
1 1 Capital Heat 4.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Adrienne’s Progeny 12.00 4.5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 That Corey 3.00 2.4 4-1
4 3 Lil Nas 2.50 2.9 6-1
6 5 Circleofchampions 5.00 3 6-1
10 8 Me Likey 8.00 3.5 7-1
7 6 By Moonlight 5.00 5.5 10-1
9 7 Gates of Heaven 15.00 7.6 14-1
3 2 Whiskey Vision 15.00 8.1 15-1
2 1 Fleet Roy 15.00 8.7 16-1
1 1 Crossword 0.00 SCRATCH
8 8 The Chosen Vron 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Flying Business 1.80 1.6 3-1
4 4 Billy K 10.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Heart River 3.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Dehydration 2.50 4.1 8-1
2 2 Sherilinda 3.50 4.4 8-1
5 5 Don’t Stop Lookin 10.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Tapwater 4.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 She’s Our Charm 2.00 2 4-1
6 6 Quick (GB) 2.50 2 4-1
4 4 Gypsy Spirit (GB) 3.00 2 4-1
3 3 Heathers Grey 5.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Out of Balance 15.00 4.6 9-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Secret Touch 2.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 Justin’s Quest 2.50 2.1 4-1
1 1 Truth Seeker 5.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Conquest Cobra 3.00 4 8-1
4 4 Debt Monger 8.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Bold Endeavor 6.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Champagneonme 6.00 3.1 6-1
3 2 Pyron 4.00 3.2 6-1
5 4 Surfing Star 5.00 3.4 6-1
6 5 California Street 8.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Kneedeepinsnow 8.00 5.9 11-1
4 3 Grinning Tiger 8.00 6.5 12-1
2 2 Microrithms 1.20 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Rose’s Crystal 3.50 1.9 4-1
8 7 Rockie Causeway 1.20 2.1 4-1
5 4 Cheerful Charm 2.50 2.3 4-1
1 1 Keep Dancing 15.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Ketchup 15.00 5 9-1
4 3 New Heat 8.00 5.4 10-1
7 6 Slew’s Screen Star 15.00 6.6 12-1
3 3 Buy Wave Buy 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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