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Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, October 22, 2020

October 22, 2020 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 6 Nutzforboltz 2.00 2.3 4-1
3 2 Ghost Giant 4.00 2.9 6-1
6 5 Dr. Shane 3.50 3.3 6-1
5 4 Pipes 8.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Catch a Cab 2.50 3.8 7-1
4 3 Honorable Hero 20.00 5.9 11-1
10 7 Hit It Once More 12.00 6.3 12-1
2A 2 Dark Money 1.60 SCRATCH
7 7 Just Right 2.50 SCRATCH
9A 9 I Love Jaxson 1.60 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Bernin’ Thru Gold 4.50 2.2 4-1
5 4 Saratoga Pal 2.00 2.3 4-1
6 5 Freedom Force 8.00 3 6-1
1 1 Big Boy Mo 8.00 3.1 6-1
7 6 Advance Notice 1.80 3.5 7-1
3 3 Victory Built 20.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 No Lime 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Risky Mischief 1.60 2.7 5-1
5 3 Vip Nation 3.00 3.1 6-1
9 6 Dancingwthdaffodls 4.00 3.8 7-1
8 5 Purrageous Dyna 5.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Fierce Lady 8.00 5.1 10-1
6 4 Elegant Zip 12.00 6.3 12-1
3 3 Puffery 2.50 SCRATCH
4 4 Cathy Naz 4.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Merlins Muse 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 4 Me and Mr. C 1.60 2.2 4-1
1 1 Talking 3.00 3 6-1
7 5 Doubly Blessed 4.50 3.2 6-1
4 3 Oceans Map 8.00 3.7 7-1
8 6 Dynadrive 6.00 4 8-1
9 7 Creative Plan 6.00 4.3 8-1
3 2 Arithmetic 15.00 7.6 14-1
2 2 Fed Funds 5.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Blood Moon 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2A 2 Market Impact 1.00 1.1 2-1
6A 6 Joint and Several 1.00 1.2 2-1
3 3 Kickin’ Kirby 4.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Tri Saint Lorenzo 3.50 2 4-1
1 1 Kith 8.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Warfront Fighter 6.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Mucho Sunshine 15.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Bayern’s Mirage 20.00 4.7 9-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Ceant 2.50 2.8 5-1
1 1 Sengekontacket 3.50 3.4 6-1
6 6 Berenice 6.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 All American Dream 6.00 3.4 6-1
9 8 Apurate 4.50 3.7 7-1
3 3 This Just In 8.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Lady Rosalie (IRE) 8.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Look Me Over 10.00 6.5 12-1
8 8 Simply Sweet 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Dynamax Prime 6.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Lucky Ramsey 3.50 2.6 5-1
2 2 Control Group 1.50 2.7 5-1
4 4 Hammerin Aamer 5.00 3 6-1
3 3 Attentive 4.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 American Lincoln 10.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Blugrascat’s Smile 15.00 4.4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 1 Zarkallani (FR) 3.00 1.5 3-1
9 5 Sentry 5.00 3.7 7-1
7 3 Ballagh Rocks 0.80 3.9 7-1
10 6 Winning Factor 6.00 4.2 8-1
6 2 Abiding Star 8.00 4.4 8-1
8 4 Soulmate 50.00 7.5 14-1
1 1 Winston’s Chance 1.40 SCRATCH
2 2 Expert 3.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Dark Storm 5.00 SCRATCH
5 5 King’s Honor (IRE) 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Z’finale 8.00 2.3 4-1
10 9 Selfmade 6.00 2.3 4-1
6 5 Michael’s Bad Boy 4.00 2.5 5-1
9 8 Silver Token 2.00 3.3 6-1
11 10 Noble Mischief 6.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Key to Victory 12.00 3.6 7-1
7 6 Supply Sider 12.00 4.3 8-1
4 3 Starship Empire 20.00 4.5 9-1
5 4 True Palace 15.00 4.7 9-1
3 2 Hurricane Andrew 50.00 8.3 16-1
2 2 Kingfish 2.50 SCRATCH
12 12 Justintimeforwine 12.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Open Lengths 3.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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