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Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks for Friday, December 4, 2020

December 4, 2020 Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Royal Seeker 5.00 2.7 5-1
8 8 Quality Line 3.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Write Me a Song 2.00 3 6-1
3 3 Tiz Love 3.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Ladies Man 8.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Proudtobesicilian 12.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 No More Fireball 12.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 P Town Titan 30.00 6.1 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Minoso 5.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Leprino 3.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Galloping Mischief 2.00 3 6-1
9 9 No Parking Here 4.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Tromador 8.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Bob’s Sniper 8.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Calder Vale 20.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Barbiere 15.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Suances Secret 30.00 6.6 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Western Rule 2.00 1.4 3-1
7 6 Pizza Charlie 6.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Flash of Glory 5.00 2.9 5-1
10 9 Call Sign Lucky 5.00 2.9 5-1
6 5 Presto Bench 8.00 3.2 6-1
8 7 My Child Sbud 10.00 3.4 6-1
3 2 Flactem Legacy 8.00 3.8 7-1
11 10 Big Endeavor 4.00 4.2 8-1
9 8 Raise a Hallelujah 10.00 4.7 9-1
4 3 Russian Diplomat 12.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Deputy Gary 30.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Light My Tiger 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Cryin’ Chuck 2.50 3.6 7-1
7 7 Big Bad Gary 6.00 4.4 8-1
10 10 Show Business 8.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Shake N Fries 4.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Lucky Romano 8.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Captain N. Barron 8.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Dark and Dandy 8.00 6.1 12-1
2 2 D K’s Crown 10.00 7.3 14-1
9 9 Rineshaft 15.00 7.8 15-1
1 1 Earle Gray 20.00 9.9 19-1
11 11 You’reright Again 0.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Unstoppable Guy 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Zagrah (GB) 2.50 1.8 3-1
10 10 True Mischief 3.50 2.3 4-1
6 6 Elegant Silk 4.50 2.9 5-1
1 1 Gotta Be Lucky 3.50 3.1 6-1
4 4 Rocketann 8.00 3.7 7-1
9 9 Slew’s Screen Star 10.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Moreavino 15.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Ice Angel 20.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Turkish Angel 20.00 6.9 13-1
8 8 Mira Loma Madam 30.00 7.9 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Bronn 4.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Let’s Rejoyce 4.50 2.3 4-1
5 5 Fratelli 3.50 2.3 4-1
8 7 Tizhotndusty 4.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Zorich 8.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Natural History 8.00 3.7 7-1
10 9 Wine and Whisky 8.00 3.7 7-1
9 8 Nonno’s Polaris 15.00 6.6 12-1
3 3 Bam Bam Again 20.00 7.6 14-1
7 7 Flat White 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 La Aguililla 4.50 3.7 7-1
10 10 Shylock Eddie 6.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Althea Gibson 1.80 4.5 9-1
5 5 Midnight Sunrise 6.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Hot On the Trail 10.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Black Drop 8.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Felony One 15.00 7.3 14-1
4 4 Wishful 15.00 7.8 15-1
6 6 Little Miss Ellie 8.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Trina 0.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Ana Lisa 0.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Eye On Tiger 20.00 10.6 20-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Noble Pursuit 2.50 2.5 5-1
9 9 Lucky Ryan Seven 5.00 2.6 5-1
8 8 Seizetheday Rexy 2.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Git On Your Pulpit 6.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 With Due Cause 8.00 3.7 7-1
10 10 Mr. Clutch 10.00 4 7-1
4 4 Gov From Above 12.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Mobjack 20.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 Run Manny Run 30.00 8.5 16-1
3 3 Lunademiel 30.00 8.6 16-1
11 11 Barhopsky 10.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Union Dance 3.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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