December 16, 2020 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | King’s Prayer | 1.60 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | First Metal Count | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cryptozonic | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Too Much Bourbon | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1A | 8 | Amazing American | 1.60 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Coach O’Shea | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Doug’s Bug | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Grand Little Man | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 3 | She’s All Skeet | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Lady of Luxury | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Nun of Ours | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Ragatagtag | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Wedding Dance | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Aiken to Be | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Delicious Pursuit | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Shilah Baby | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ella’s Lil Star | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Affairs Unlimited | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Viva Cat | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cry Like a Baby | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Malartach | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Queen of the Lane | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Annie’s Shenanigan | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Creative Legacy | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | I Got Wings | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tornado Crossing | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Crazy Good | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Lady Hampton | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Goingtoagogo | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Deanos Cape | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Make’n Tracks | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Guardsman Pass | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nocomet | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Just Gun It | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sneaky Allie Kat | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Willy B Fast | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 4 | Jo’s Bold Cat | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Leader of Men | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Epic (ARG) | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Over Funded | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ya Gotta Wanna | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Vinyl | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Armchair Jockey | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Clint Maroon (GB) | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 8 | Oxwood | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 3 | Bold Delivery | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Roll Tyler | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Mango Tree | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Papa Molly | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Charity for All | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | No Exaggeration | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pretty Creative | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 1 | Canihaveitlikethat | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 2 | Populist | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 3 | High Cruise | 20.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Briar Jumper | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Dreammaster | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Dom Caetano (ARG) | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Days of Glory | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Junior Bug | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Shar’s Treasure | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Ibeam | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Freightrainfreeman | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | One Hitter | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Bucky | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Uncapped | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Sandbagger Al | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Muscadine | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Gilded Apple | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Holy War | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Adina | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Lil Bad Lil Boujee | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Custom Gulch | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 10 | Magic Coy | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sharp Buzz | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | My Girl Em | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Divided | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Haute Cuisine | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Clocked in Tyme | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Galaxy Star | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Commercial Flash | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Blessed Villana | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Open Tab | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 6 | Stang’s Galaxy | 30.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.