February 3, 2021 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Smart Pegasus | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Star’s Dream | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Supersport Sally | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Juanandora | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Breezin Bye You | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lil’ Sister Lou | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Meg and Clair | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Wasnt Joking | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | More Abundance | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Corruze | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mr. Priority | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Impeachableoffense | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | About Our Time | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | The Gray Blur | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Spectrolite | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jake the Band Man | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bar Tap | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Bella Falaya | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Perfect Justice | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Ella’s Lil Star | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Malartach | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cry Like a Baby | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Irish Priority | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Fieldstone | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wentru | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bryce Canyon | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Language Barrier | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ultimate Irony | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | O Dogg | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | No Exaggeration | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 3 | Awe Shackle | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Thirtyminutemass | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Pretty Creative | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Flat Out American | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | B W P Special | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2B | 6 | White Mist | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 5 | Powerful Man | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Pasion Azteca | 10.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Saint Goar | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 5 | Shades of Truth | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | World War | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Hotmolly | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Half Koo Koo | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Summer Is Hot | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Teton Twilight | 12.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 1A | 14 | Harriet’s Dream | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Lady Churchill | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Liberated Strife | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Steph’s Spirit | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Devil With a Dash | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Mercedes Ladies | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Ours Forever | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 1 | She’s My Priority | 15.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Pop a Choc | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Queen of the Lane | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Princesa Blanca | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | April’s No Fool | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Sweet Blindness | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Skyvalue | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bye Bye Bertie | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Princess Tine (FR) | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Art Rock | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Point of Infinity | 4.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dramatizer | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Sweet Workout | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Beyond Heavenly | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Jail House Code | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Laugh It Off | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Faded Memories | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Della Frost | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 1A | 10 | Honorary Guest | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 7 | Slam’s Man | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Richard Ronald | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Cat On the Roof | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sir Pokerface | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Caeus in Pasadena | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Adrenaline | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Cork Arm | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Little Red Kid | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Taft’s Lil Boy | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.