February 5, 2021 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Try SFTB Plus for Free
$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.
Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Centavo | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Yerosilverbiz | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tapit’s Flashback | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Black Limo | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ohyoudidntknow | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | New South | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Ghost Stalker | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kentucky Cool | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Brooklyn Law | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Competitive Hero | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Let’s Workout | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Run Casper Run | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dang It | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Coolboy | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Unrelenting Force | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Colormepazzi | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 3 | Spitball | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Imperio D | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 2 | Liam’s Fire | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Beaver Creek | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2A | 2 | Madam Deputy | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Queentigua | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Grape Therapy | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Vitanza | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tiny Magoo | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1A | 1 | Women Not Easy | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mill Stone Creek | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lovelee Honor | 50.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Kansas Kis | 1.20 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Gone Glimmering | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | New Year’s Wish | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Stand for the Flag | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Brass Ring | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Foxtail | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Bank Sting | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | La Kara Mia | 1.40 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Vienna Code | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lucky Girl | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Moon Sweeper | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Steppin’ Hawk | 30.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Prince of Pharoahs | 1.40 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kaz’s Beach | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Raven Rocks | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bad Guy | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jack Bo | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hold My Call | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Possetizzly | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Troubleshooter | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Jara | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mani Pedi | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mebs Web | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Happycrest | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Imprsstheprofessor | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gringotts | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Appreciate | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Alexacrat | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.