February 15, 2021 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 4 | Lady Kaza | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Shake D Moon | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Better Biz | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Threewickedwishes | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Malartach | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Elle Corredora | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Cirrusly | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Bella Belle | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Tupelo Hon E | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Taking Notes | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Star Banjo | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Remembermis | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Rifle Man | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Looking for Bull | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Beauty Boy | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Available Star | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Magic Vow | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 2 | D Two | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Ice Peak | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Alma Derby | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Maintainance Matt | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Magi | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Flashyboy Bobb | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Homeland Messa | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Red Hot Devil | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 6 | Delta Traveler | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Strummer | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kuhlke | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Hotmolly | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Speedy Dudette | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Ours Forever | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Singing n’ Praying | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Devil With a Dash | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Tetheredtothetruth | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Platinum Queen | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Two Mikes N Doc G | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | King of Candy | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Citali | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fleetway | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Catalogue | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gato Americano | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mosta Flyin | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Firewater Jake | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 4 | Blonde On Tap | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Katie’s Karat | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Danza Lauren | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Business Lady | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Trichrome | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Paytience Pays | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Outkickthecoverage | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Susan Strong | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Honorary Guest | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | My Tommy Lee | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 2 | Da Gold Room | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Blueridge Mountain | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Life On the Road | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Max Pandowdy | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Conative | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Good Clean Fun | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | No Exaggeration | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jackfruit | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Rattlesnake River | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 3 | Freda’s Smooth Air | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 5 | Sincerity | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Darling Joanna | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Theboyzgalaxy | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Air Guitar Star | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | B’s Ten | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Grand Isle Girl | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Blessed Anna | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Lucky Artie | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Crimson Feline | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Mighty Able | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | He’s Taylor Made | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Get the Net | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Jade’s Classy One | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Wicked Alex | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Comerunninboys | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Win Won Dobbs | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Barrel of Bourbon | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | The Three Ks | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cajun Style | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.