February 23, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Firsttimevalentine | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Grover Capote | 10.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | One Smooth Katch | 8.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Donna’s Council | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wildfire Storm | 15.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Crescent City Star | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Classy’s Fast Roy | 3.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Flashlightsecurity | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Unbridled Pulpit | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Grip Tight | 10.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Not Fade Away | 15.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Tin Delay | 1.80 | 11 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Suckerforagrey | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Oretta | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Condesa’s Handmaid | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Nineoneoneprayer | 5.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Sing the Song | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Grillin | 2.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | She Wants Half | 5.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Cool Spring | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Racin Prayer | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rockin Sunday | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Slide | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Storm Cat’s Cry | 20.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Holy Song | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | St Maria | 8.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Bear Tooth Pass | 1.80 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Whiskey to Wine | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Red Rebel Star | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Old Time Girl | 12.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Cabeza de Tortuga | 6.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Customs Bella Ella | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Limitless Mazie | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | La Jazz | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Itsnotmyjob | 12.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Afleet Moon | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Dueforadate | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | My Sister Annette | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Dejoke’s Song | 3.50 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Aloha Betty | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Icy Charlie | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wild Mallory | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Sunshine Deelite | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Gold Punch | 3.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Full Power | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | M and M’s Custom | 10.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Little Can | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Justa Buster | 12.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mas O Menos | 20.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Toe Bandit | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Run Ethan Run | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sugarland Express | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pioneer Pride | 5.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Jackie Moon | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Typhoon Zing | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Be a Bandit | 20.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Interatifwithleu | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ashley Astray | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Linda’s Legacy | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Golden Paree | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Gabby’s Freedom | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Binalloverdrinken | 3.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Invader | 5.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Alys Episode | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Cherokee Bless | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | My Little Fire | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Kellys the Boss | 20.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Milana | 1.40 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Achancetowin | 15.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Audacious Girl | 12.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Left of the Dial | 6.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | A Wish for Madelyn | 10.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Romantic Beast | 8.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | My Little Guera | 8.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kleinmeister | 4.50 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Tiz Sassy | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Not Enough Bling | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Tensas Sunday | 20.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | I’ll Raise You | 20.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Outofthisgalaxy | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Forestdungone | 15.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Gentrified | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Berko | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gotta Go | 2.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tabia | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Halfmoon Reef | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Lovethatcause | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Masterly | 5.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Moonfield | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Honest Woman | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Temple Shadow | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Honest N Lucky | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Rock the Jukebox | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Mizz Tutu | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Poopsie Doopsie | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Ruby Sioux | 1.80 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tizzy’s Song | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Nastida Mast | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Artist by the Sea | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Little Toe | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Perfect Parade | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dutchman | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Quality Production | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mr. Graceful | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | So Sorry Ruston | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Victor Lounge (IRE) | 5.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Actif One | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Weknewuweretrouble | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Apalachee Bay | 4.50 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.