March 2, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 3 | The Thimble | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
4 | 4 | Priority Points | 10.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
5 | 5 | My Little Flaco | 12.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
2 | 2 | Out Making Treble | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
1 | 1 | Catch This Star | 3.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
7 | 7 | Waypoint | 4.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
6 | 6 | Redoux | 1.20 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 4 | D’yeti Man | 20.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
1 | 1 | I Rate First | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
5 | 5 | Leo Del Reo | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
8 | 8 | Skylas Gold | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
6 | 6 | Hubbadahubbadaboom | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
7 | 7 | Pretty Britches | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
2 | 2 | Thatsafactjack | 1.60 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
3 | 3 | Fetchum Ketchum | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Zcat’s Chatain | 20.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
6 | 6 | In Coming J | 20.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
10 | 10 | Thirsty Kat | 15.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
4 | 4 | Subject to Call | 5.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
2 | 2 | Louisiana Jazz | 12.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
3 | 3 | Brooklyn’s Grip | 8.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
9 | 9 | Lullaby Bandit | 3.50 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
8 | 8 | Flash of Pepper | 8.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
12 | 12 | Carlos Punch | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
5 | 5 | Elisher | 2.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
11 | 11 | Silky’s Dance | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
7 | 7 | Mr. E Edwards | 10.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Old Fashion Amour | 10.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
4 | 3 | Miss Neko | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
7 | 6 | Run Now Estella | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
6 | 5 | See Sassy Run | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
5 | 4 | Duepeg | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
3 | 2 | Onetwomanyrockets | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
2 | 2 | Wildabout Audrey | 2.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 3 | River Rain | 20.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
9 | 9 | Primary First | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
8 | 8 | Guilty Confession | 1.40 | 4 | 7-1 |
10 | 10 | Cherokee Bless | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
7 | 7 | Fickle Flash | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
6 | 6 | My Little Fire | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
1 | 1 | Suspect the Worst | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
2 | 2 | Ruby Red Slippers | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
5 | 5 | She’s the Boss | 4.50 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
4 | 4 | Eurobouttogetit | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | My Little Adrian | 20.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
6 | 6 | Egomaniac | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
7 | 7 | Charming Bullet | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
8 | 8 | Mayan Ghost | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
5 | 5 | Common Law Cat | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
2 | 2 | Little Wise Guy | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
10 | 10 | Midnight Revolt | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
12 | 12 | Optimistic | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
4 | 4 | Flamin Fire | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
9 | 9 | Grand Little Man | 12.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
3 | 3 | Mr True | 2.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
11 | 11 | Rockthepulpit | 10.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 5 | Chatain’s Flyer | 20.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
1 | 1 | Shesthecatsmeow | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
4 | 4 | Queen Shasta | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
2 | 2 | Rose Runner | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
7 | 7 | Queen Bindala | 15.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
8 | 8 | Golden Bet | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
3 | 3 | Geaux Golden | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
9 | 9 | Lagniappe | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
6 | 6 | Matt’s Pride | 2.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Weknewuweretrouble | 20.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
4 | 4 | Pops Legacy | 1.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
9 | 9 | Gold Buyer | 12.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
7 | 7 | Lindante | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
8 | 8 | Moment | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
2 | 2 | Beauty Boy | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
6 | 6 | Netela | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
5 | 5 | Red Wined Up | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
3 | 3 | Celestial Cowboy | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | Madelyn’s Wild Max | 1.40 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
4 | 4 | Successful Ryker | 10.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
1 | 1 | Bye Bye Birdstone | 15.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
6 | 6 | Colonel Pike | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
3 | 3 | Royal Reality | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
7 | 7 | Lunar Light | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
5 | 5 | Easter Music | 4.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | 10 | Color Fast | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
8 | 8 | Bayou Beaux | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
5 | 5 | Apache Unbridled | 20.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
1 | 1 | Marvins Gold | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
2 | 2 | Underdog | 2.50 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
4 | 4 | Big Cypress | 6.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
3 | 3 | Justa Swinging | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
7 | 7 | Red Mamba | 5.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
9 | 9 | Father Goose | 3.50 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
11 | 11 | Honorarian | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
6 | 6 | Here Comes Magic | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.