March 3, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Try SFTB Plus for Free
$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.
Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Kappa Hill | 20.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Downeaster Alexa | 20.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Magic Apriority | 15.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Exotic Town | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Takenforgranted | 4.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Anotherinthefire | 6.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Chief Falcon | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Left of the Dial | 3.50 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | My Little Anita | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Runaway Deb | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Shacks River | 2.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Jimi’s a Star | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Paddock Pick | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nate’s Attack | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Flying Honeypot | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Langs Day | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sheriff Brown | 1.20 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | While My Guitar | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dialed J | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | C. F. Shelauh | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Miracle Girl | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Theboyztap | 3.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Back Inthat Action | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Star Fashion | 1.80 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Annie Sullivan | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Suckerforagrey | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Silver Siren | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Molly Golightly | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Oretta | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lady Rad | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cool Spring | 1.40 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | G Cisive | 12.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pat Me Down | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Spread the Faith | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kensley’s Hippie | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Palmy Sundae | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Fazio | 4.50 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | K D Street | 2.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Chasin Gracie | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Wayfaring Stranger | 3.50 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Trump Media | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Our Prince | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 3 | Miss Billie K | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Hopeitsamiracle | 12.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Mitch’s Pins | 15.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Laneys Love | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 8 | Weneedtotalk | 1.40 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Harper Bee | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Kaydees in Town | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1A | 9 | Panterita | 1.40 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Mi Copa Rebosa | 3.50 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | War Bandit | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Muscadine | 12.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Muffin Nuts | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Top Draw | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Charlies Ticket | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Liken It | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Turn On the Magic | 1.60 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Heza Priority | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Frank the Mayor | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Krisynsarasboy | 20.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Custom Kat | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lions Hot Mess | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | War Song | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Katama Bay | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Superconductor | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Move It | 5.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Secret Redemption | 3.50 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | I’m Looking Up | 1.80 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Star’s Gold Mine | 15.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Native Trip | 20.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mave Runner | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Valid Break | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Orthodox Beat | 3.50 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Madelyn’s Moment | 5.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tap the Cat | 15.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lady’s Tribute | 6.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Sweet Perfection | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Toshita Forever | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Fearless Dixie | 20.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | La Jazz | 2.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.