March 4, 2021 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Spilled Perfume | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Backgate Belle | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Amelia’s Bonnet | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Danzig Star | 4.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Tuesday | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Caddo Queen | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Marquee Cowboy | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Thursday Morning | 15.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tyne After Tyne | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ella’s My Girl | 15.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Flat Out Gold | 15.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Eastside Cool | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Payster | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Copley | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Spotted Bull | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Flat Out Avenger | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bode’s Light | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jackman | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Screen Star | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Perfect Mistake | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Skywave | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Street Toll | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | King Henrik | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Distractandattack | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Heroic Song | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Big in the City | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Holding Pattern | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Major Chance | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bellamys Roan | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Awesome Charge | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Vice Versa | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Town Champ | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Impressed | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | D’ Rapper | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Well Connected | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Cyril’s Boy | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Gordy Florida | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Madison’s Luna | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Frolic More | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Fast Sophia | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Frankies Moonshine | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Smarty’s Angel | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cash Light | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Feminine Allure | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tallandlong | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Daigle | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Very Spicy | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cyber Sneaker | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Precious Tinkle | 30.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Rachie Rach | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Alittlebitofsmarty | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | No Direct Matches | 30.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Spot’s Maine Girl | 30.00 | 11.9 | 23-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Pick Up the Fone | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | French Rose | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Beauty Day | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Abramax | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Awesome Indra | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Summer Lovin | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | French Charm | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Midnight Karma | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bobbie too Too | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sattersfield | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | City Gone Country | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Sheshed | 30.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Julie Arkansas | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Motown Girl | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Villareggia | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Joyful Cadence | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | On My Own | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Music App | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | She’s Xtremely Hot | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Blame the Red Cat | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Winning Walk | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fudge Brownie | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Ava’s Grace | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Southern Grayce | 1.80 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dana’s Beauty | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Exotic West | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ekati’s Hit | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Parkin in the Rear | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Someone Said So | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Rare Form | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Clear the Mine | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sevier | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hidden Promise | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gigging | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pat Daddy | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Paddy O’Dini | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | He’s So Zazzy | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Undercover Lover | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Epic (ARG) | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Balandeen | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Alexandros | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Omen of Change | 20.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.