March 5, 2021 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Charliv | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | McLucy | 10.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Tizmo | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Why Roxie Why | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Reine Secret | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Claire’s Darling | 2.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Strictly Business | 15.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Doublbarrelbourbon | 12.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Speechin N Teachin | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pat’s Factor | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Artillery | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Manklin Creek | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Grey Giant | 1.80 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | No More Talk | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Reggie’s Buddy | 5.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Five Card Draw | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Higher Purpose | 1.60 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Federale | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ticker Tape Parade | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sir Lenny | 1.60 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Always Biz | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Magic of Love | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Who’s Counting | 15.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gosh | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gold Fellow | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | He’s Not Tapit | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lifespan | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Yousaidhello | 20.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mr. Mims | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Padawhirk | 30.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Distant Thunder | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | I Want More | 12.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sweet Asta | 30.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hinting | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Speightsford | 4.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hanalei’s Houdini | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Awesome D J | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Press My Bets | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Clubman | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Oxide | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Honor the Fleet | 10.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fortunate Friends | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | John the Bear | 5.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dream Happy | 10.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Exculpatory | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Billingsgate | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Reckless Place | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Forth | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rippolino | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Uncle Roamie | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Shanghaied Astoria | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Valued Notion | 12.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | The Revenger | 15.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Bourbon Street | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Josef Is Real | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Kingston Pike | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Honor Run | 15.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tom Terrific | 15.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Inside Risk | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | John’s Promise | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Nautical Nature | 20.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Royal Crusader | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Forfiftyfiverocket | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Al Brown | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.