March 5, 2021 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | More Is More | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Artie’s Rose | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | West Side Girl | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | It’sfiftyshadetime | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Golden Grant | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Moonshine Dancing | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Melting Snow | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Hooked a Goodwin | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Reinsure | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gainer | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Beau Book | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lautrec | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Dance an Irish Jig | 4.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Majestic Day | 2.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Filly Ray Cyrus | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Shine Jack’s Dream | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Faction | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Moral Standard | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Got It All | 30.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Flatoya | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dixieland Dream | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dulcimer Dame | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ms Falsetto | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Some Would Say | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Whoville | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Justatapin | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lady Priest | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Western Attire | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Gran Manna | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Right Trappe | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Founder’s Day | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Baby Cloud | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Emerald Princess | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Viva Violence | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Polyester Bride | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 3 | California Swing | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Rocko’s Wheel | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Driven to Compete | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | You Split Tens | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Chicory Blue | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Never Even Called | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Kid’s Mischief | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Always a Catch | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 5 | Hinton | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Determinant | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Witch Doctor | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Riptide Rock | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kinetic Sky | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cousin Larry | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Notary | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Big Union | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Back Ring Luck | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 4 | True Castle | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Full of Grace | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | A Thousand Reasons | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ghaaleb the Great | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Final Form | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sandy Sangria | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wicked Flashback | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | A. P. Princess | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Cherished | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Peruvian Appeal | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Luna Fortis | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Vault | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Piece of My Heart | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mucho Amor | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jennemily | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Blessed Again | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Beach Flower | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Goodbye Earl | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Papa Star | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rolling Fork | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Ima Bling Cat | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Goose Almighty | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | James’s Moonshine | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Data Storm | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | One Way Street | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Serbian Sailor | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | No Cussing | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Riante Sky | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Warning Label | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Explosive Humour | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 10 | Dixie’s Hero | 30.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.