March 9, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Kim’s Parrain | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 9 | Runaway Deb | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Achancetowin | 15.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Audacious Girl | 8.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fashion Merit | 10.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Pinot | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Kellys the Boss | 3.50 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Shanghai Hetty | 15.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Senorita Tsunami | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Flashy Sassy | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Kleinmeister | 1.80 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Not Enough Bling | 4.50 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 2 | He’s a Climber | 10.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Gentrified | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Broadway Ice | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Tabia | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Lovethatcause | 1.60 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bayou Bode | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Shooters Alley | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Jr’s Sauvage | 20.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lil Bit of Justice | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Majestic Society | 15.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Power Serve | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Grand Tribute | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lucky Streaker | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Nocomet | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | And Yet Another | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ch Bern | 4.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Big Boss Man | 12.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Brutalize | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Golden Palace | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pray Ide Sing | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Round Quarter | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Alan’s Argument | 1.20 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Greatest Love | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Candy’s Parade | 12.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hennys Grinning | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Blue Ridge Moon | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | California Katie | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | World Party | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shelby To | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hallajoori | 2.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Seven Jewels | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bella Cajun | 10.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Queen Gigi | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Green Monster | 10.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | The Complete Court | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Champagne Affair | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shi O’Shi | 1.20 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 5 | Why God | 3.50 | 0.5 | 1-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Krafty Boy | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1A | 2 | Mistake Present | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Flashing Angelbaby | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Great | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Stephen’s Answer | 1.40 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Temprano | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2B | 6 | Allthewaywithtaye | 3.50 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Smooth Colliery | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 10 | Zipzaptime | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 1 | Whiskey’s Gone | 15.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Cajun Cash | 15.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Summer Appeal | 20.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Mine Inspector | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Theboyzhour | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Spendaholic | 3.50 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Outamine | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 5 | Reddy to Bet | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | D Two | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 9 | Ice Crush | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Ella’s Actor | 20.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shot On Windy Hill | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ramaah | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shar’s Treasure | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sandbagger Al | 4.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cape Town Willy | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Range of Motion | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sent’s Galaxy | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Rockthepulpit | 15.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Centsmybabyleftme | 2.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Escape the Galaxy | 30.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gottatakehimto | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Hope for Change | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Obstructed View | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Crescent City Star | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ambassador House | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Runciman | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lightning Harbour | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Laughing Latinos | 2.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ray’s Kimua | 3.50 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Wildfire Storm | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.