March 10, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Storm Breach | 10.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Lone Star Secret | 15.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Resposado | 4.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Emmas Ruler | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Eve’s Delight | 5.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Grayfully | 3.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Alhambra Palace | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Sky Sum | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Drewzano | 12.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Stormation | 20.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Smooth Colliery | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 6 | Navy Times | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Masterly | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Big Em C | 1.40 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Lenape Drive | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Red White and Loud | 3.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Dale’s Lil Bro | 20.00 | 0.8 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Firsttimevalentine | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dit | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Flashlightsecurity | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Too Tuff to Cry | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Clever Prince | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Grip Tight | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Remember Me Pop | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Amandas Lightening | 3.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Slick It Up | 1.80 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Special Storm | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Last Appeal | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Tapped to the Max | 4.50 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | On Tilt | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Carbon Stryker | 3.50 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | G’wildcat | 6.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sixto | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Adios Carlos | 2.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Chu Chu’s Legacy | 8.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cc Nonstop Express | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Not Fade Away | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Paint I Ain’t | 1.40 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Whoosah | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Calculate | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Carries Man | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Reads Landing | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Breslin | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Irish Expectations | 3.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tiz the Dude | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Em’s Miss Prado | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Don’t Trip On Me | 12.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Slide | 1.20 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Stop the Friend | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Executive Council | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My Heart Dominus | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Line of Faith | 3.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 6 | Nana’s Joy | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Memory Magic | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Kodiak Sky | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Ashley’s New Shoes | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Kris T. | 1.20 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Matapan | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Ocean Express | 12.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Ruby Sioux | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 6 | Arancia | 12.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bind Me Up | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 7 | Cajun Music | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Wish for Interest | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Rose Crown | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Mane Priority | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Raising the Roof | 3.50 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Mallory’s Home | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jerry’s Legacy | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Vivinsky | 20.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ready Redding | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wicked Citi | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Zens Secret | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Lauriano | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dubnation | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Waterwild | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Extra Dough | 4.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Blazin’ Asian | 1.80 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Our Prince | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Bluewater Cat | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.