March 11, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | K One Comet | 20.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bear Tooth Pass | 1.40 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fearless Dixie | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | We Can Dream | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tribute Galaxy | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Speak Briley | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Missbudlitelime | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Brooklyn’s Grip | 4.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Johnnysjourney | 20.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Zipzaptime | 10.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pinch Assault | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | High Cruise | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Forestdungone | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lighthawk | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Zenucci | 1.80 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Exton | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Native Trip | 15.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | B G’s Dreamcatcher | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cherokeetin Xpress | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Seven Come Eleven | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pricey | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ms Louisa | 1.80 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cozzene Zing | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Customs Bella Ella | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sy Michael | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hot Le Roy | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sarah’s Vision | 1.60 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wise Anchor | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Strong Rules | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Little Can | 2.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Ashley Astray | 8.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Olivia’s Duchess | 5.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Super Legs | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Skykat | 1.40 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Heather Divine | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ratatouille | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miami Rose | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Omahasetgeaux | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Roaring Quinn | 10.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Flashy Sassy | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Takenforgranted | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Zedusive | 4.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | A Wish for Madelyn | 6.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Senorita Tsunami | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Myla Rubi | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Nickys Guitar | 1.40 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Viva Cat | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Zugersee | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Granfathersleugirl | 12.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shrew Grit | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hanging Lake | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Go Get That | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Allidoisdreamofyou | 10.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hatties Jewel | 1.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | I’ll Raise You | 20.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Successful Ryker | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ninth Street | 3.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | He’s an Honest Man | 4.00 | 0.6 | 1-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Jack Be Quick | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Mundo Mutadda | 30.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Valley of the Hide | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 4 | Red Wined Up | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Bajan Cash | 1.60 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sonoma Crush | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Tin Roof Rusted | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.