March 11, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Exaggerated Moment | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Frosted Mistress | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | The Biggest One | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Flying Black | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bobbies | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Everthree | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jedi Jane | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Watch Me Tango | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Casanova Kitten | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | High Tide | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Turn of Events | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Templet | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Calibrator | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Samaronti | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Oceans Map | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Too Sexy | 1.40 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Let Them Eat Cake | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Oriole | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Anything Goes | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Breehazel | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mumbai | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mackenzie’s Girl | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Nationalist | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Emolga | 1.40 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Simple Story | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Dinner At Five | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Twilight Galaxy | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shellphone | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Captured Light | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Divine Martha | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Charlotte the Brit | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fast Catalina | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sammy’s Town | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Henni Penny | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Proper Manners | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ms Headley | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Akor | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hy Dollface | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Follow Me Mom | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kourvoisier (IRE) | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | New York Style | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Enano Astray | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Neverstopdreaming | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Valid Exchange | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mr Tito’s | 8.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Deputy Czar | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ultraconfident | 20.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Northbrook | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Morocco | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | High Noon Rider | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Blind Ambition | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Thunder Ride | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Forever Mo | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gemonteer | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Galleon Mast | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Prevalence | 0.80 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Caxambas Candy | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tio Magico | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Slashing | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Distorted Limits | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Southern Passage | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Charge Account | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Omnia | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Little Bit Good | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Lea Ro | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lovely Brown | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Kitten’s Romance | 12.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Gypsy Wife | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Fall Moon | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Positive Skew | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Future Victory | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Alado | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Indoctrinate | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Eamonn | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Big Snitch | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Dimenna | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Will Take Control | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Thruster | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lord Flintshire | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Lumberjack | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Big City Dreams | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Aesthetically | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Navy Pier | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.