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Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, March 14, 2021

March 14, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Loyal Louie 1.40 2.3 4-1
9 8 Work Ethic 4.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Wicked Concorde 4.50 2.6 5-1
4 4 Outdoor Dining 5.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Bahamian Dude 15.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Mister Fernando 20.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Trinni Summer 20.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Dreaming of Gus 30.00 7.1 13-1
8 8 Awesome Family 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Comp’d 2.50 2.1 4-1
3 3 Princess Coro 3.50 2.3 4-1
2 2 Caffeine Rush 3.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Capture the Genie 4.00 3 6-1
5 5 Cookie Cove 5.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Island Vibe 8.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Science 1.00 1.3 3-1
7 7 Water Wizard 3.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Flat Out Cool 4.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Trinni Sunshine 8.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Nombre 12.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Theycallmeprincess 20.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Trinni Girls 15.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Unlonely 2.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Dreaming Thousand 1.80 2.5 5-1
9 9 Cheval Dore 5.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Thirsty’s Pride 8.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Mayor Remo 15.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 M V Speed 15.00 6 11-1
7 7 Lemon Go 15.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Master Q 15.00 7 13-1
8 8 Ascended 20.00 7.7 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Fig Jelly 2.50 2.5 5-1
1 1 Fielder 6.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Long Blade 4.00 3.6 7-1
11 11 Macho Blue 3.50 4.7 9-1
6 6 Kantharos’ Image 10.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Zaino Boyz 15.00 6.4 12-1
5 5 New York’s Finest 15.00 6.9 13-1
10 10 Slippin Jimmy 15.00 8 15-1
4 4 Tale of Kantharos 20.00 8.1 15-1
7 7 Diamond Play 20.00 8.6 16-1
9 9 Graceful Kitten 20.00 8.6 16-1
13 13 Smoke Alarm 12.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Timmy M. 30.00 10.4 20-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Mary Jane Chrome 3.00 1.3 2-1
6 6 Iced Latte 3.50 1.8 3-1
1 1 Dream About Me 5.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 Zuri 4.00 2.2 4-1
8 8 Surrealist 4.50 3 6-1
2 2 Viva La Red 8.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Apart of My Charm 15.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Skybox 20.00 5.6 10-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Bugle of War 2.00 2 4-1
2 2 Raison d’Air 3.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Safe Conduct 4.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Jimmy P 5.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Pugin 10.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Fuego Caliente 6.00 4.5 8-1
6 6 Major Frontier 15.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Nacho Papa 4.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Dark Ages 3.50 2.3 4-1
6 6 Pro Quality 4.50 2.4 5-1
3 3 Honolulu Express 3.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Green Mansions 8.00 3.2 6-1
8 7 Just Like Mike 5.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Fast Loaded 12.00 6.1 11-1
7 7 Juan Boly 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Osaka Girl 3.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Sunset Kiss (GB) 4.50 2.7 5-1
4 4 Nope (IRE) 5.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Una Luna 3.50 4 8-1
6 6 Rosa Star 6.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Caira 8.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 La Babia 12.00 7.6 14-1
8 8 Storm At Sea 10.00 7.7 14-1
9 9 Puppet Master 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 No Drama 4.50 1.6 3-1
3 3 Love Life 4.00 1.7 3-1
7 7 Exponential 3.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Supplication 6.00 2.3 4-1
8 8 The Zip Factor 6.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Gael Power 12.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Command Central 5.00 2.9 6-1
4 4 Declareatruce 12.00 4.3 8-1
9 9 City Glory 30.00 7.3 14-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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