March 16, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Rock On Cowboy | 15.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Diside | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Double Priority | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pepper Jack | 3.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Elisher | 4.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Heather’s Request | 5.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sammy Danseur Jr. | 1.80 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | In a Bind | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Underdog | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Hold Tight | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Two Worlds | 1.40 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Oxbow Pioneer | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Goldeneyed | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chief Cheetah | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Kappa Hill | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fillmypockets | 20.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Miracle Girl | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Back Inthat Action | 1.80 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Kenya Strike | 4.50 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | A. P. Style | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Perfect Peach | 4.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Theboyztap | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tensas Sunday | 15.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Annie Sullivan | 8.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Kimmy | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Grace’s Gal | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Golden Expresso | 1.40 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Prospect Crissi | 20.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Arctic Guitar | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jeweled Crown | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Chicken Or the Egg | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Emery’s Dream | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sunny Empire | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Major Freak | 15.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Point to the Green | 20.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Kite Trouble | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Grover Capote | 1.80 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | St Basil | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Special Storm | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Donna’s Council | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Classy’s Fast Roy | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Superconductor | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Malibu Jack | 1.60 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Marvelous Red | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Harry’s Lil Hippie | 20.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Not Today Satan | 4.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Ouachita | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Disc One for Pete | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | War Song | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Secret Redemption | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Double Cool | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wrath | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mutineer | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mr Makeithappen | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sir Smack | 1.60 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Christopher Cat | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ride to the Wire | 2.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sophisticated Girl | 15.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Catcake | 10.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Itsnotmyjob | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dial Em In | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lady Hopper | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | She Wants Half | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nineoneoneprayer | 2.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | She’s Seventeen | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Carbonated | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lucky Inferno | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Donwell | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Chaosmos | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stanton C | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Artist by the Sea | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lucky Andy | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lip Service | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Archie | 2.50 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cajun Pinata | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.