March 17, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Pardon My Heart | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Twilight | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Divided Sky (IRE) | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shadilee | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Memphis Showboat | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Judy’s Way | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cat Lady | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Chamberlain | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nimble Beast | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rack Gin | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | One Eyed Jack | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Capitan Fofo | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Emicrack (CHI) | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Meteorito | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mutaraafeq | 1.40 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lease | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Weight of Glory | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sandy Dude | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shooting | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nahuatl | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Lullula | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Winter Princess | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Por Que No | 1.80 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chevelita | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sunshine City | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pretty Rachel | 10.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kate’s Kingdom | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Tizzarunner | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Abiding Star | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Mid Day Image | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tusk | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | J P Hellish | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Calabash | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Reckless Spirit | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Light Fury | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Zero Gravity | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Thorover | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Berhanu | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | C. P. A. Genius | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Peruvian Dancer | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Barrel Proof | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Crazy Shot | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bach | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Emit | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Real Doozie | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hera | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Aizu | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Josefa | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Copper | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Daddy’s Joy | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Blueyed Princess | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Dem a Wonder | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Foolish Heart | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Leyenda | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Include the Beast | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nicole Princess | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lights On Girl | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Cowtown | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Basha | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Focus Group | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pillar Mountain (IRE) | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Counter Offer | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Call Curt | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Cibolian | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Go Poke the Bear | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Prefect | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Trouble Coffee | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lake Nakuru | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Hot Babe | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Liesel | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Addi | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Trashthetrailer | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Captured Light | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | St. Louie Arch | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Senorita Salsa | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Queen Ashy Baby | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Mystical Charge | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Holy Secret | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.