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Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, March 18, 2021

March 18, 2021 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Santa Ana Winds 5.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Indawin 3.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Midnight Karma 4.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Henny Fly 2.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 City Gone Country 10.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Sattersfield 6.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 All in Bronson 15.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Julie Arkansas 15.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Rock Ridge 2.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Gainer 3.50 3 6-1
1 1 Samurai Saint 5.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 That Dude 6.00 4.3 8-1
9 9 Axis 4.50 4.9 9-1
8 8 Beggarthystar 10.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Moral Standard 12.00 6 11-1
6 6 Harry 12.00 6.6 12-1
5 5 Ponti Poker 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Waiver Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Sunset Paula Jo 4.00 2.4 5-1
4 4 Sandy Sangria 2.50 2.6 5-1
6 6 Madison Way 4.50 3.2 6-1
1 1 Shackleford County 5.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Take Charge Erica 8.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Boathouse View 12.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Noble Alma 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Richness 4.00 3.5 7-1
8 7 Epworth 10.00 5.4 10-1
5 4 Miss Checkmark 6.00 6 11-1
10 9 Hamazing Lace 3.00 6.3 12-1
4 3 Princess Strategy 10.00 6.5 12-1
6 5 Morning Valentine 8.00 6.5 12-1
12 11 Courtney Fay 6.00 6.7 13-1
2 1 Marciamarciamarcia 10.00 8 15-1
9 8 Moro Magic 15.00 9.2 17-1
11 10 Red Rocket Girl 15.00 9.5 18-1
1 1 O. K. Socks 20.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Tallandlong 4.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Rachie Rach 2.00 SCRATCH
3 2 Sailaway and Hide 20.00 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Pioneer Spirit 1.80 2.6 5-1
5 5 Chris and Dave 3.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Laughing Fox 6.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Coal Truth 4.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Arrival 8.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Cashanova 8.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Easy Shot 8.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Couverture 2.50 2.5 5-1
5 5 Gold N Sexy 3.50 3.9 7-1
8 8 Fancy Blaze 5.00 4.9 9-1
11 10 Cyber Affair 5.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 Lady Mondoro 10.00 6.9 13-1
2 2 Skadi 8.00 7 13-1
1 1 Nebraska Red 15.00 7.9 15-1
7 7 Five Rivers 20.00 8.1 15-1
12 11 Wish for Candy 8.00 8.4 16-1
4 4 Alittlebitofsmarty 30.00 9.6 18-1
10 10 Ima Sure Bet 15.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Angel Arkie 8.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Fast Sophia 20.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Bonita’s Gold 30.00 12.2 23-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 1 Diggin Gold 3.50 1.5 3-1
4 2 Crown Jewel 1.60 2 4-1
7 5 Cynical Girl 5.00 2.9 5-1
5 3 Henrys Deal 3.50 3 6-1
6 4 Break Curfew 5.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Justatapin 20.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Thelma and Annie (IRE) 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Wildwood’s Beauty 2.50 1.8 3-1
4 3 Lady Rocket 3.00 2.1 4-1
7 6 Auberge 5.00 2.6 5-1
2 1 Ocean Breeze 3.50 2.8 5-1
3 2 Ready to Runaway 8.00 5.4 10-1
5 4 Sara Sea 10.00 5.7 11-1
8 7 Cherished 12.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Lexi On the Move 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Moon in the Sky 4.00 4.6 9-1
9 9 Mo Betta 3.00 4.6 9-1
10 10 Into Orbit 4.50 4.7 9-1
3 3 Dunraven Pass 5.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Serbian Sailor 8.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 I Stan for Love 20.00 6.7 13-1
12 11 Risky Situation 8.00 7.4 14-1
7 7 Dinner At Crumpies 8.00 7.7 15-1
1 1 Hoss J W 20.00 8.4 16-1
8 8 Twisted Dixie 15.00 8.5 16-1
6 6 Kat’s Hitman 15.00 8.9 17-1
11 11 Holding Pattern 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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