March 19, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Now a Jaguar | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Duel Fuel | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Coach Paul | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Quinto Sol | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Royal Meeting | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | El Tabernero One | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Unimpeached | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Testified | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Big Frank | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Classy Beast | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Just Smok’n | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Too Stylish | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Over There | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mystic Comin Home | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Takestwotowiggle | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Starship Blanca | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Exact | 1.40 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Third Time Around | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Turn It On | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Queen Calypso | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Viking Queen | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Speedy Fire | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bourma | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Al Heybay | 1.40 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Thinkaboutit | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Awesome Beach | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Paladio | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Beaster | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Drop Anchor | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | R Guitar Casino | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Last Minute Deal | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Try Me | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Speight | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Malibu Mandate | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bonno | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Personal Meadow | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Trinni Valantine | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Morning Trial | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Torque | 30.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Damir | 30.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Little Dude | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Grainger County | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | French Reef (IRE) | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Mr Nappy | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Frontier Mesa | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | The Spider | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Balaban | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Cold Warrior | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Awesome Enough | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Convict Pike | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Spinning Kitten | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Break Beat | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Buffalo Max | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Freedom’s Flight | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My Good Man | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pretendant | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bahamian Girl | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | She Takes Heart | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Grace’s Drama | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Assume Control | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Etana | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Flashing Diamond | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dont Get Smart | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Interest | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Monarchs Glen (GB) | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jais’s Solitude | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bluegrass Parkway | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Battalion | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Epic Bromance | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Trish the Dish | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Freddymo Factor | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Setting the Mood | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | She Fled the Scene | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stormy Derby Day | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pearlescent | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Eighty Seven North | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Smirkotch | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | La Rusia | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.