March 20, 2021 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Dontmeswithdiscat | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Moorac | 5.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Between the Hedges | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Catechism | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Red Bottom Rebel | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Bluebird Day | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Clear Steps | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dont Float the Ice | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Tallandlong | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Spilled Perfume | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fast Sophia | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | No Direct Matches | 3.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Louemma | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hadleys Hero | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hightail Runaway | 10.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Angel Arkie | 15.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cozy Wish | 15.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Comanche Moon | 12.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Sweetness To | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Thursday Morning | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Very Spicy | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Caddo Queen | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Luna Fortis | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Forevernoa | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Laurieann | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | She’s Divine | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Subiaco | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ghaaleb the Great | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hello Darling | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Fiery Lady | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fleeta Belle | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fabulous Girl | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | War Ballad | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Showit | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hush Y’all | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | J P’s Gladys | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Texas Music | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Entrusted | 10.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Backseat Promises | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Friendly and Kind | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | He’s Meant to Be | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Greeley and Ben | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | I Belong to Becky | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Coach Adams | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Undercover Lover | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Tough Stuff | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Whenthedovescry | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Elzabe’s On Board | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | High Proof | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Replete | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Northern Diamond | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Martique Miss | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Divine Choice | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Shes Got It | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Beauty Contest | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Emerald Princess | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Forever Home | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Ileavethelighton | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Living for Today | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Happylife | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Knot Anymore | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Candy Runner | 20.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | News Flash | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Hidden Promise | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Hansens Mischief | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mister Oakley | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cardiac Kitten | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Heisfancy | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | K W Captain Hook | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gemo Rain | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ice Peak | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Town Drunk | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nashvegas | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Lazaretto | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Chicago Chrome | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Megatap | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Awesome Charge | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | My Honey’s Perfect | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Heartbreaker | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Twirling Roses | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | American Unity | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Thats a No No | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Pizza Charlie | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Bamalama | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ash Flat | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Are You Happy | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Rare Form | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Home Run Trick | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | New Mexico | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dunph | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Secret House | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Gita’s Lad | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Clear the Mine | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Ego | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Shweet Persuasion | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Charlie’sarchangel | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Gazebo S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Cazadero | 1.80 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Game Day Play | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jaxon Traveler | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sir Wellington | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lock Up | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dusty Hill | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Gaslight | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Come On Mike | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Antigravity | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ardanwood | 4.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Pa Ma’s Amos | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Sovereign Change | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Junesandra | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Chrome Run | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Whiskey Plank | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Fixation | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.