March 22, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Magic Apriority | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Tiz Sassy | 2.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Roaring Quinn | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fashion Merit | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Zedusive | 10.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kimmy | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Louisiana’s Hope | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Lawson | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tale of Tensas | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Hurryupnwait | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Inawic | 1.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Nitap | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Non Binding | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lone Star Secret | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Beaux Tox | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Midnight Trip | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Fifty Protection | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Speedofthespeed | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Full Power | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Justa Buster | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mr. Snowflake | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Joe Diver | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jays Riverwrangler | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Run Ethan Run | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Production Time | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kasen’s Krossing | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Lucky Streaker | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Cool Individual | 1.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Buy In | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kiss of the Wolf | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Clever Racer | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Ready Redding | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Flash Dancerluck | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Dale’s Lil Bro | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Oops Wediditagain | 1.80 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | David’s Grace | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tin Delay | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Runciman | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Zarazi | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ambassador House | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Coco’s Man | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gotta A. P. B. | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Typhoon Zing | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Prud as Punch | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Will B Late | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Interatifwithleu | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Mave Runner | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Palais | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Suspect the Worst | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Clocked in Tyme | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Candy Candy Candy | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | G G Has a Shot | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Salt Life Angel | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Aim Spot | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 5 | Weneedtotalk | 1.20 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Miss Billie K | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Hopeitsamiracle | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 2 | Panterita | 1.20 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Laneys Love | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Harlans Warrior | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 6 | Kaydees in Town | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mitch’s Pins | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sweet Milagros | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ebony Bay | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dixie Loving | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Caught His Eye | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Georgia Dawn | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rhett’s Racer | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Envoy’s Guilt | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Shrew Grit | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shiloh County | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Jr’s Sauvage | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gottatakehimto | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Imdusty | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lil Bit of Justice | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Shot On Windy Hill | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Power Serve | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Grand Tribute | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Doug’s Bug | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Common Law Cat | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Beautiful Ending | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sweet Perfection | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Infinite Solutions | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Orthodox Beat | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Ad Libitum | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Storm Cat’s Cry | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Racelynn | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Padioli | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Cabo Sunset | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Clever Music | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Old Time Girl | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | My Heart Dominus | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.