March 23, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Daves Friend Dewey | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lit a Shuck | 2.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wayne’s Hope | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | D’festive Cat | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Unbridled Baby | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Picture Paynter | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Midnight Nightmare | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Boston Slick | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mean Cruiser | 4.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sassy’s Prospector | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Friendofthecourt | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | I’m Always Late | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Champagne Affair | 1.40 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Flat Out Flirty | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Da Due Run Run | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hoyam | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jet Sweep | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | This Is My Prayer | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Paisley Cross | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Girl in Black | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sho Nuff | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Track Smart | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sophie’s Prayer | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Alhambra Palace | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Mean American | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Love and Lemons | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Silent Trick | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Runfastandloud | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sundereya | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Quick Rae Rae | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Todayisnottheday | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Island Blue | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | War Bandit | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Data Girl | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Frank the Mayor | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Liken It | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Heza Priority | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Turn On the Magic | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Calculate | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | High Ridge | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Muffin Nuts | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Andiamo Giacomo | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Last Appeal | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Friday’s Best | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Black Sword | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kinlee’s Song | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Thirsty Kat | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hostile Afleet | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Coast Guardsman | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Souvenir Channel | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Crider Chase | 1.40 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Party With Kassidy | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Speak Briley | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Belinda | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Aquaholic | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ad Libitum | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Cozzene Zing | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Prud as Punch | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Swanee Beach | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Clocked in Tyme | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Enough Heart | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Aunt Sunshine | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Primary First | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Invader | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Impazible Pat | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fickle Flash | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | Madelyn’s Wild Max | 1.80 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Reach the Circle | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Big Em C | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wonder Run | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Aw Shucks | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Halfmoon Reef | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Whacudposblygowrng | 15.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Farewell Time | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 9 | I Want a Picture | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Missgreeley’ssong | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ultimate Challenge | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Thinking of Her | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Batty | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Charming Flirt | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fearless Dixie | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Paddy O’Belle | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Inseparable | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Money Sunk | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lauralee Cocodree | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.