March 24, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Ramaah | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Data Load | 1.80 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mr Leo | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sobek | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Corvette Spirit | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Chitto | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Grand Little Man | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Golden Palace | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Jenny’s Halo | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Wild Mallory | 1.60 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Grillin | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Diva’s Ransom | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | New Orleans Spice | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Andthebandplayedon | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Holy Song | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Zcat’s Chatain | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Carlos Punch | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Flashlightsecurity | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dit | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Firsttimevalentine | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Lightning Harbour | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Point to the Green | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Escape the Galaxy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Remember Me Pop | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Grip Tight | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Amandas Lightening | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mr. E Edwards | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Fianna Hills | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ruby Sioux | 1.60 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mostly Awesome | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Temple Shadow | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Costa Sugar | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rock the Jukebox | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mizz Tutu | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Toodaloo to You | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Indicatif | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mucho Marvin | 1.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Parlay Pete | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Shanghai Mike | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Eternal Force | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1A | 10 | Flat Out Love | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Zens Secret | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 1 | G Cisive | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 4 | Flash Me Back | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Man Behind the Bar | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sweet Shelia | 1.40 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | California Katie | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Darlene | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Moon Lovin | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | My Little Anita | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Lil Hot Toddy | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sweet Pinot | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Classic Greeley | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Binding | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Krafty Boy | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | I’m d’Cat | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Johnnysjourney | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Alex’s Turn | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Greeley’s Dealer | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Forestdungone | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Debonnaire Dude | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Apalachee Bay | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wrath | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dubnation | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Whiskey’s Gone | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Valley of the Hide | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ten Silver Pins | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Caeus in Pasadena | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Adios Yankee | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Dobby Sue | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Lawsuit Lucy | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | G Kate | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hennys Grinning | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Em’s Miss Prado | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Stop the Friend | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | La La Latte | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Impazible Song | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Line of Faith | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Quick Heat | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | C C Crown’s Choice | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tenacious Faith | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.