March 25, 2021 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Rose’s Galaxy | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cajun Up | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Can Imagine | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Knockalittlelouder | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Red Hot Devil | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Friendlyproduction | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Drew’s Shot | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Bellamy Cay | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Freda’s Smooth Air | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | B’s Ten | 2.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Air Guitar Star | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Alliaceous | 3.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lone Star Diva | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Crimson Feline | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mila’s Gold | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Distractor Factor | 10.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sebs Princess | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Halostar | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Miss You Jo | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | M V P Mookie | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Richie Gary | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Chambliss | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Silver King | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Jennovodka | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | I Don’t Fly Coach | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Musical Man | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Port o’ Call | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ole Stud Muffin | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Everlovinghand | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Last to Know | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ballinonabudjet | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Moment of Stardom | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rare Strain | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Catinandscatin | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Amavi | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lookit | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Captain Ziggy | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Smarty Alex | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | See What’s What | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 7 | Over the Blues | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Melody Rose | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Close to Me | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 6 | Herbs Love | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1A | 8 | As Fast as You Can | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Aubrey | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 5 | Limage | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Becca’s Whisper | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Ultimate Irony | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Military Bearing | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 6 | Man On the Moon | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Cane Creek Road | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Big Nick | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Smokey Harbor | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Immortal | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Assumption | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Phraseologism | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Hot Stove League | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Fieldstone | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Sincerity | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Darling Joanna | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Explosively Hot | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Theboyzgalaxy | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Breezin Bye You | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Grand Isle Girl | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gator Proud | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 9 | Naughty Rendezvous | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Skinny Dip | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 6 | Santa Rita | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Let’s Celebrate | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Bruce’s Girl | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Dynamite Gift | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Ma Cherie | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Irina’s Hero | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Mairsils First | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Mary Jack | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Differentbutok | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 11 | Alan’s Argument | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Shakin Silver | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Go Ortego Go | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cajun Berti | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | First Metal Count | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Amazing American | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pillage Da Village | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Stone Dreamer | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Our Starlet | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | King’s Prayer | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Act of Donation | 20.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Stang It | 20.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | It’suptoyoupal | 20.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.