March 26, 2021 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Guilty Lover | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Half a Bite | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Get Them Justin | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Gem of Carlos | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Tucker the Grouch | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 5 | Starvictory | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Callinginthenight | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1A | 6 | Silent Cry | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bitsy’s Custom C | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Candy Shopper | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Apache Tears | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Grand Priority | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Singasongsam | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fluffpoint | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mighty Able | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Benbow Cat | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Brad Eye | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Kittenofthe Court | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Langfuhr’s Angel | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Looking Hot | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Slewalyze | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Diamond Lady | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lucky Harborage | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tetheredtothetruth | 20.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shooting Stick | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shop Around | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Julia’s Chance | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 4 | Parker Eva | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Jail House Code | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Pie Killer | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Forever Mesa | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Strike of Honor | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Watrugonnadokaren | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Prinecess Doir | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Brooklynn’s Dabomb | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Workout | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Laugh It Off | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Kamara Vision | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Banquet Chef | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Guilty as Charged | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Wise Guy | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Tool Box | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ima Sunny Song | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Have a Notion | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Minister’s Medal | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | The Three Ks | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Barrel of Bourbon | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Semi Charmed Life | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Runnin Brave | 30.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Captain Noble | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Peytonwegotdonuts | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | P T’s Flash | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 2 | Just Blaze | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 4 | Spectrolite | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2B | 8 | Cheers to Berti | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Loopallu | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Tigerbeach | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Hotfoot | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fleetway | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Cadet Captain | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Xy Speed | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Freedom Factor | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Eden Grey’s Kitten | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | More Abundance | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Magic Carpet | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Faith’s Raceday | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Adeeb | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Lode of Blarney | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Daggers Arch | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Da Gold Room | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | In the Arch | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dublin Yinz Money | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Max Pandowdy | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Passageway | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 4 | All Fact | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 5 | Yes I’m Evil | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Lebkuchen | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Break At Dawn | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Marywood | 10.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Zabava | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Chikara | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Lea’s Princess | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Sikum | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Slime Queen | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Ginny B | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Strong Beauty | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Play Unified | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Echoesoftime | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dixie Lady | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Suzie’s Dream | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Galaxy Thirtysix | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lady Be Gone | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Yes Gorgeous | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sienna Breeze | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Money Well Spent | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.