March 27, 2021 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Stakes) – Videogenic S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Ruvies in Time | 1.40 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Malibu Mischief | 0.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fair Regis | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lem Me Have It | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rude Awaking | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Stakes) – Caixa Eletronica S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mad Munnys | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Pete’s Play Call | 1.20 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | American Power | 0.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | American Rule | 30.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | True Palace | 50.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Home Run Maker | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Stakes) – Xtra Heat S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Jump for Joy | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Letmetakethiscall | 1.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Dovey Lovey | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Lady by Choice | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sweet Mia | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Madam Meena | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Stakes) – Kelly Kip S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Storm Advisory | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Square Shooter | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Bears Mafia | 1.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Spikes Shirl | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Summer Bourbon | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pennsylvania Steel | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Stakes) – Belle Gallantey S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Dublinornothin | 1.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Movie Score | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lovely Lady Lexi | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sister Patricia | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dirty Bird | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Whyisshesoolucky | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Caramel Cream | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Stakes) – Peeping Tom S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Twelfth Labour | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Family Biz | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Ryan’s Cat | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Clench | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rejected Again | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Zaevion | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Latin Love Bug | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | The Great Dansky | 30.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cause of Action | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Stakes) – More To Tell S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Supreme Aura | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Malibu Pro | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Dark Storm | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Durkin’s Call | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Colonel Juan | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Control Group | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Chief Know It All | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Eagle Pass | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Tivano | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Stakes) – Sis City S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10A | 8 | Sirenic | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2A | 1 | Excess Capacity | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Mia Bella Rossa | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Miss Mi Mi | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Flat Awesome Jenny | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Daria’s Angel | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Violent Trick | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | First Dawn | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Happycrest | 50.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chaysenbryn | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Sky Kitten | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Stakes) – Stud Muffin S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Musical Heart | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Air Attack | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Heirloom Kitten | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Super Dude | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Doubly Blessed | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Villainous | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Shooger Ray Too | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Ekhtibaar | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | American Lincoln | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lost in Rome | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Forest Fire | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Flowers for Lisa | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Stakes) – Dads Caps S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Fox Red | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Honorable Service | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | The Queens Jules | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Seven Lilies | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Skyler’s Scramjet | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Town Jak | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Vicar’s Legend | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Direct Order | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fleet Warrior | 20.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | My Train | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Swiping Dan | 50.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Real Dan | 50.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.