March 27, 2021 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Champagneonme | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Music to My Ears | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Harper | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | D’ Rapper | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sevier | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sedaris | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Do Me a Favor | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Olivian | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Peanut | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Run Fearless | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jeri Dawn | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Seriously Sassy | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Flirtatious Smile | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Calico Dreamer | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Hooked a Goodwin | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Soldier Boy | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Run Away Son | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wings Up | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gotta Love Ike | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Chicken Truck | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | East Moon Lake | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Boo Reid | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Top Gunner | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Murdo | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Western Pharoah | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Khaki Jack | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Battle Hero | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | New Dice | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Major Chance | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jack Luvs Nova | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Rock Ridge | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Southside Swig | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Niles Channel | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wyoming Conquest | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bode’s Light | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Greater Cairo | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | The Big Bluff | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hard to Park | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Bitumen | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Balandeen | 2.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Little No Way | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hubbadahubbadaboom | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 5 | Impunity | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | White Wolf | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Flashymeister | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Deacon | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Bar Stool Budget | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | Unscathed | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Sonny Smack | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Intrepid Heart | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Knights Key | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Omen of Change | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shweet Persuasion | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mississippi | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pickford | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Solomonic | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Blueridge Mountain | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Catholic Guilt | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Thomas Shelby | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Aztec Empire | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Urbanite | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | All Eyes West | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Optimus Kat | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Derby Code | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Istan Council | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Vault | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Beach Flower | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Piece of My Heart | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Blessed Again | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Goodbye Earl | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Nodouble Breeders’ S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 2 | Tempt Fate | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Man in the Can | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Bebop Shoes | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Bandit Point | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Glacken’s Ghost | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | J. E.’s Handmedown | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Reef’s Destiny | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | K J’s Nobility | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Captain Don | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Caerus | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cash Rocket | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Cryo | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Stilleto Boy | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | W W Crazy | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mr. Wireless | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Happy Romance | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dupuis | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Right Tone | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ram | 15.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Hanks | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.