March 30, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 3 | Kellys the Boss | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
4 | 4 | A Wish for Madelyn | 4.50 | 5 | 10-1 | |
1 | 1 | Not Enough Bling | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
6 | 6 | Chief Falcon | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
9 | 8 | Runaway Deb | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
8 | 7 | Shortylee | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
2 | 2 | Senorita Tsunami | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
5 | 5 | Redheaded Cricket | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
7 | 7 | Shacks River | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
10 | 10 | Fancy Face | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
11 | 11 | Merlin’s Sister | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
12 | 12 | Tough Bama Belle | 6.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 1 | Brutalize | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
1A | 7 | One Proud Boy | 1.20 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
7 | 6 | Marvelous Red | 3.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
4 | 3 | Round Quarter | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
3 | 2 | Secret Redemption | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
5 | 4 | Inlike Flen | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
6 | 5 | Bettin On Bryan | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
1 | 6 | My Amigo Charlie | 1.20 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 4 | Callthewolfe | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
1 | 1 | Relax Town | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
6 | 6 | Courageous Is Back | 1.20 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
7 | 7 | Slow | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
2 | 2 | Counterfeit | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
3 | 3 | Zion’s Call | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
5 | 5 | Joeboy | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | 7 | Rose Crown | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
2 | 2 | I’m All Mixed Up | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
8 | 8 | Viking Voyage | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
9 | 9 | Envoys Legacy | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
3 | 3 | Accustomed to Hope | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
5 | 5 | Decadent Diamond | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
6 | 6 | Cajun Music | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
1 | 1 | Jerry’s Legacy | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
4 | 4 | Fromagentleman | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Big Power Red | 1.60 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
2 | 2 | One Time Gem | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
7 | 6 | Race Craft | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
3 | 3 | Civil Servant | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
5 | 5 | Easy to Miss | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
4 | 4 | Enchanted Empire | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
6 | 6 | Diside | 12.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 2 | Ms Louisa | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
6 | 5 | Raising the Roof | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
8 | 7 | Mallory’s Home | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
2 | 1 | Arancia | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
7 | 6 | Ruby Red Slippers | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
5 | 4 | Lucky Lily Be | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
4 | 3 | Eye On the Ladies | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
1 | 1 | Bliss La Vie | 8.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | 7 | Chicken Or the Egg | 1.40 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
6 | 6 | Sunny Empire | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
4 | 4 | Golden Expresso | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
5 | 5 | Arctic Guitar | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
3 | 3 | Further Lane | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
1 | 1 | Be a Bandit | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
2 | 2 | Miss Mabelee | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | 7 | Outamine | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
3 | 3 | Warriors Gem | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
4 | 4 | Dried Pepper | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
8 | 8 | Populist | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
6 | 6 | Elusive d’Oro | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
1 | 1 | I’m Looking Up | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
2 | 2 | Let It B | 10.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
5 | 5 | Leo Del Reo | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | 6 | Glory Road | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 | |
9 | 9 | Alterana | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
4 | 4 | Bodemeister Wind | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
5 | 5 | Croque Monsieur (GB) | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
8 | 8 | Giant Mesa | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
11 | 10 | Muscadine | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
7 | 7 | Charlies Ticket | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
1 | 1 | Wild One Forever | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
3 | 3 | I’ll Raise You | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
2 | 2 | Last Battle | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
10 | 10 | Imdusty | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
12 | 12 | Tapage | 5.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 3 | Peaceful Vision | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
5 | 5 | Eve’s Delight | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
4 | 2 | Noon’s Babygirl | 1.80 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
9 | 9 | Camp Halo | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
3 | 1 | Miss Hurryupnwait | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
1A | 4 | Resposado | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
8 | 8 | Sassy Sue’s Band | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
6 | 6 | Sunny’s Prayer | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
7 | 7 | Ray Rae’s Runner | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
2 | 1 | Spectacular Izzy | 8.00 | SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.