April 1, 2021 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 10 | Chewy Chewy Good | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Souper Capacity | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Innervoice | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 6 | Wild Escape | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 9 | Great in Red | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1A | 4 | Omi Ten | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 2 | Sisterofthemoon | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2B | 8 | Quiet Surprise | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lyricist | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 1 | B Rewarding | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Defender | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bode’s Maker | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Coal Truth | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Irish Hokie | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Catdaddy | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cashanova | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Young Bull | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Boo Be Right | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Goose Almighty | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Smellin Candy | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rusty Cage | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ten Buds | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Destinedtobeastar | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Rockthepulpit | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | It’s Bellamy Time | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Demigod | 4.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Contact Tracing | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gainer | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hanks | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Unidentified Man | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Distractandattack | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sleight of Hand | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wick | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Flat Reward | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Captain Fantastic | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Courtney Fay | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tallandlong | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Precious Tinkle | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | No Direct Matches | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Feminine Allure | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Very Spicy | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Backgate Belle | 6.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Spot’s Maine Girl | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Caddo Queen | 30.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Alittlebitofsmarty | 30.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Shackleford County | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pretty Britches | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jets a Ginnin | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sacred Storm | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lil Miss Hot Mess | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kasserine Pass | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | War Ballad | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fleeta Belle | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Melting Snow | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Scat for the Cause | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Double Dare You | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Credit Enhancement | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Secret Mistress | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Parkin in the Rear | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Factual | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bossy Moment | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Simona’s Choice | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Royal Daaher | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Plane Talk | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | War Detonator | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lykan | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mo’s Mojo | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Skol Factor | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Full Authority | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sturgill | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Thornish | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | African Warrior | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Aspen Club | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mrs. Beans | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Prince Leo | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pay Dirt | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lang’s Fir Doll | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hamazing Song | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chicken Hawk | 2.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Candy’s Little Tip | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.