April 2, 2021 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8A | 8 | Shinjuku | 1.60 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 2A | 2 | Our Man Mike | 1.60 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | War Novel | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Brew Pub | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Olympique | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Forty Two Ace | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | A Colt Named Susie | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Remembermom | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Grit and Glory | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Legit | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Roaming Union | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Runabout | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Allured | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | King of American | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Freudian Sip | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Professor Snape | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Winning Drive | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Releasethethunder | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Vicar’s Legend | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | O Shea Can U See | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fire Mission | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Brazillionaire | 1.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Prince of Caps | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Johnnypump | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Epona Rising | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Iron Giant | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Loaded Joe | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Beckenbauer | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | We Ready | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Grecian Pharoah | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Across the Channel | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Timely Tradition | 1.40 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Prairie Fire | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chub Wagon | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Maryanorginger | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | She’smysunshine | 30.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | New Year’s Wish | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11A | 11 | Kuramata (IRE) | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4A | 4 | La Hara (IRE) | 1.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Box N Score | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Singapore Trader | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dreams of Tomorrow | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | So High (GB) | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fame to Famous | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Manolito | 50.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Vintage Hollywood | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Malibu Star | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Daddy Knows | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Distaff H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Honor Way | 1.60 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lady Kate | 1.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Paris Lights | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Portal Creek | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kansas Kis | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Forest Spirit | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Black Irish | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Leas Talkin Alot | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wisecrack | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Theitalianamerican | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Go Cash Go | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Talespin | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Being Me | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kikkerland | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.