April 2, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Fightress | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Afficionado (FR) | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sweetly Maid | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Swirling Candy | 1.60 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wedontbelieveher | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | True Heiress | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | I’m Prayingforthat | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Oglala | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Danzatale | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chica Boom | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Systematic | 1.20 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tizofadeal | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Awildas Treasure | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Brody’s Honor | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Maricopa | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Holy Secret | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | I’m a Coco Pebbles | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Queen Ashy Baby | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Captured Light | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Okalani | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Catirusia | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Smack | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Princess Coro | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cookie Cove | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Yellen | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Zip It Jess | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Majic Flash | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Glorious Gal | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Dr Jack | 1.80 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gran Runner | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Proud Contender | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cpower | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rave On | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Maybe After Later | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mystery Mo | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Hurricane Breeze | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | La Rusia | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pearlescent | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | I’ll Do It My Way | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Greenwood Drive | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Obstinate | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Noble Maria | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Millefiori | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jost Dreamy | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | I’m Listening | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | What a Beaut | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Short Pour | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rosa Star | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Diamond Play | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Perspire | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sammy’s Town | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | I Kickn | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | It’s a Risk | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Frank Alone | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wicked Temptations | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Baby Brother | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Flaming Hot | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | One Fast | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Five of Hearts | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Blue Lou Boyle (IRE) | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Astroturf | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Light Cruiser | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Indoctrinate | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lumberjack | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Three Amigos (FR) | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sevriano | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dunkle | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.