April 13, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Miss Jamie | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Ms Louisa | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | True Brown Slew | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Binalloverdrinken | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jerry’s Legacy | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mallory’s Home | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Smooth Fantasy | 8.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Cherokeetin Xpress | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Miss Invader | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Eurobouttogetit | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Ellie D Cajun | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Doeny Sparks | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 5 | Song for Heddings | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Saint Kennedy | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Lone Star Secret | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Chicken Or the Egg | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Romantic Beast | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Infinite Solutions | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Naughty Justice | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Emmas Ruler | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | My Little Fire | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Firstslate | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Izeonpoint | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Teton Twilight | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Paisley Cross | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bridled Up | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Opps My Bad | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Takenforgranted | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lil Beau Pete | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Allstar Magic | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Grayfully | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Saintsgotrobbed | 1.80 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Wild Firemaker | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Louisiana Hero | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Saber Run | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Heather’s Request | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Midnight Spirit | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Real Brave | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Gottatakehimto | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Brook Is Golden | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kinlee’s Song | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Antietam Road | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Pepper Jack | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Dixie Street | 1.80 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Two Dot | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Alterana | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | King Cookie | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tactical Priority | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Lion Heart Legend | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Maintainance Matt | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | May Hour | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hooray Austin | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 2 | Shady Grady | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 1 | Royal Special | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Thirsty Wind | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Comerunninboys | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | More Than Blessed | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Toe Bandit | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Steve’s Vision | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Our Blue Jay | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Deer Crossing | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | My Little Flaco | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Rock On Cowboy | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Lightning Harbour | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Hoyam | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Flat Out Flirty | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jet Sweep | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Even Pandura | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Our Amen | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Storied Trip | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Da Due Run Run | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | A. K. A. Grams | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Calaja | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Run Now Estella | 15.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | My Wicked Wish | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Quinn Ella | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Runfastandloud | 2.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Miss Billie K | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Love and Lemons | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Panterita | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Viva Cat | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Podcast | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mitch’s Pins | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Hopeitsamiracle | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Laneys Love | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Kaydees in Town | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Silent Trick | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Charming Flirt | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Afleet Moon | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Hopper | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dejoke’s Song | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Nineoneoneprayer | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dixie Lady | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jus My Imagination | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | The Complete Court | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | My Sister Annette | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Flashyboy’s Lilsis | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sienna Breeze | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Condesa’s Handmaid | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | She Wants Half | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Stuart Hall | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Taste for Talent | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Red Wined Up | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Mr. Bandini’s Band | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Ebrio | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Looking for Bull | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Quality Production | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Netela | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Little Wise Guy | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Guitarzan | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Jack Be Quick | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Rocko’s Wheel | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.