April 13, 2021 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Prince Orb | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Longtail | 1.60 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Voy a Ti | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Imminent Danger | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bizzy Gillespie | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Oracabessa | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Go Huskies | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Baby Bull | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Brees Bayou | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Battle of the Nile | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Cantstoprunning | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Bundi Bundi | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Strictly the Best | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Starling Prince | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Stepping Forward | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | This Round’s Mine | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Anginetti | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Terpeye | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Artemis Rising | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | New Jersey | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Shatter Me | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1A | 5 | Reiterate | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | Holiday Raid | 1.80 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | Confirmed Genius | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | A. C. Riggs | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Carly Hustle | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | La Castiglione | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Perfecta Storm | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Gingers Wish | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Smart Tart | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Pretty Pants | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Dakota Outlaw | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Angry American | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Vinny Dream | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Myhessexpress | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Explain | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Saponara | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hangar One | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Open Lengths | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | J Wass | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Spirit Wolf | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | I Saw It All | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | No Fly Zone | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Rodeo Red | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Judicial Restraint | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ilovecharlybrown | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Off Duty | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Won the Case | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Truly a Moon Shot | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Kristi’s Copilot | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | County Corrections | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Here Wego | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bolita Boyz | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Colloquium | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Broad Storm | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Lorden’s Love | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1A | 5 | Monaco Princess | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Always a Queen | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Sweet Blame | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Atina Salsa | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Abaco Dream | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Sugar Streak | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 9 | My Danzig Partner | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 5 | Irish Roar (IRE) | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Boston Light | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1A | 4 | Louie’s Wish | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Audience of One | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 6 | Sunrise Saturday | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Tomasco | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fort Royal | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 8 | The Minit I See U | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Geebert | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Strawberry Red | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | King’s House | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Flashy Kyem | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Monteleone | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Catch Fire | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Jump Shot | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Thousand Percent | 4.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Kadens Courage | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Jupi’s Lightning | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Getoffmyback | 8.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pictor | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Cobh | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Conquistador | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Cooper Penny | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Carmela | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Tale of Kitten | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Barn Queen | 1.80 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fashion Nova | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Page Eleven | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Leftatthealtar | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Wanna Be Regal | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Candy Tune Spirit | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mnemosyne | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.