April 16, 2021 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Rock Ridge | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sacred Oath | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hansens Mischief | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Substantial | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Deflater | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ship It Red | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Air Show | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hanks | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Chrome Finish | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ram | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Twirling Roses | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chrome Run | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Baker’s Man | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Kid Shelleen | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Hug the Munny | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | I’m a Special Star | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Greater Cairo | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | The Big Bluff | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Limbo’s Promise | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | In the Arch | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wyoming Conquest | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Time Heist | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Funandfunny | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Cashanova | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Vangilder | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shortlist | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Intrepid Heart | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Secret House | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Catdaddy | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ruler of the Nile | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Cyber Monday | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Macho Rocket Man | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ima Bling Cat | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lucky Break | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My Little Tipsy | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Twisted Dixie | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Double Bogey | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ducktail | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Driver | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rock City Rocket | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Papa Star | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Take Charge d’Oro | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Acosta | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Giant Influence | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hyndford | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Little No Way | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Never Even Called | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Calculated Risker | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Always a Catch | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hotfoot | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Whole Lotta Luck | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Rainbow S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 6 | Blame J D | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Rolling Fork | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Navy Seal | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Ghost Strategy | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Mrs. Beans | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Dusty Hill | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Aspen Club | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Goodnight Archie | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Topf Road Rules | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Saffa’s Day | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Molto Vivace | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pletcher | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lawlessness | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Lookin At Justice | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Cold as Hell | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Oncoming Train | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Rainbow Miss S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Dolly Dimple | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hillary G | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Big On Broadway | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Kaboom Baby | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Triple Happy | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Heated Argument | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Little Burrito | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tyler’s Tyronza | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Hot Springs Bling | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Smarty’s Angel | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lady Astrid | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | James’s Moonshine | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hamazing Wisdom | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Goose Almighty | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Fire Two Point O | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Rockthepulpit | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Trophy Daddy | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Egomaniac | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Listen to Rose | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Demigod | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | It’s Bellamy Time | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.