April 17, 2021 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Congress Hall | 0.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Blue Sky Venezuela | 0.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Two Carat | 0.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dragoness | 0.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tapete Claire | 0.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Petion Lass | 0.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Runaway Crown | 0.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Scottsdale | 0.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Unbridled Parrott | 0.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Little Bold Bandit | 0.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Zip the Lip | 0.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Leave ‘Em Loaded | 0.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Inject the Light | 0.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Eric’s Empire | 0.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | One Slick Start | 0.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Triple Titos | 0.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Luxero | 0.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Twitty City | 0.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lost My Vowcher | 0.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | One More Chapter | 0.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Bear Treasure | 0.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Band On Tour | 0.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Abuelo Paps | 0.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Point Driven | 0.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Flat Out Flying | 0.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Inside Risk | 0.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fast Break | 0.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Self Awareness | 0.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15X | 15 | Kens Lady | 0.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 14A | 14 | Sick Pack Sara | 0.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Pretty Edgy | 0.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Defy Expectations | 0.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Targe | 0.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Larimar | 0.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Adabel | 0.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Rapidashqueen | 0.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 |
| 6 | 6 | A Girl Named Jac | 0.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Make It a Double | 0.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 |
| 5A | 5 | Bless and Honor | 0.00 | 12.5 | 24-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stay Out | 0.00 | 12.7 | 24-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tweet Away Robin | 0.00 | 14.8 | 28-1 |
| 9X | 9 | Caterina One | 0.00 | 15.2 | 29-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Lucre | 0.00 | 15.6 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Gimme’s Goldengirl | 0.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Naughty Thoughts | 0.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Be Good | 0.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Proper Attire | 0.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Juror Number Four | 0.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lookin Dynamic | 0.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Dial Emma Reilly | 0.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Thunderinthevalley | 0.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | What a Tart | 0.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Infinite Reward | 0.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sevilla Sangria | 0.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hot Choice | 0.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
| 5 | 5 | A Toast to Kay | 0.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

