April 18, 2021 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Y Not Sizzle | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gotta Be Lucky | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Odessa | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mongolian Window | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Zelaia | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Miss You Mom | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tiz Wonderfully | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | You Wanna Ear Rip | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ballet Royalty | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Curvette | 1.60 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sharapova | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Reem | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | River Girl | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shell Shock | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Tokyo City Cup S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Tizamagician | 0.80 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Zestful | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ronamo | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lure Him In | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Multiplier | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Anna Fantastic | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rakassah (IRE) | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Lucy (IRE) | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jazzique (IRE) | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lofty | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Nu Pi Lambda | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Del Mar Drama | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mischiffie (IRE) | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Alcools | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | I Am Allthatyouare | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Street Behavior | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Promise Nothing | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rebel War | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Great Power | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bob’s Sniper | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Cali Bay (IRE) | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mr. Impossible | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Uncle Addouma | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Myopic | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | The Boss Harty | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Enough Nonsense | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Aurelian Man | 6.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Destiny One | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pro Bono | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mucho Del Oro | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Careless Kitten | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Ballroom Hustler | 20.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rookie Year | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Bolu | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | K P Silver Bullet | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bob Daniels | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Stone’s River | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bravestone | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mister Stock | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Kona Gold S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Cezanne | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ax Man | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fight On | 20.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Brickyard Ride | 0.60 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Equilove (IRE) | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Majestic Steps (IRE) | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Dracarys | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Isn’t She Lovely | 4.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bleu Ballon | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Plum Sexy | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sweetest Angel | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Frazzled | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Absolute Scenes (IRE) | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.