April 21, 2021 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Miss Star Lo | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Aussie Mist | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Flashing Diamond | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Linda’s Ballet | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mrs. Crews | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Canoochee | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Florencia | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hay Buck | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lucky Olivia Rose | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Up Just in Time | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Angel Raphael | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Frisky Feeling | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Neighborhood Bully | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Noble Kent | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Castle Casanova | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Worth His Salt | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Delinquent | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kid Mac Cool | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Five More Minutes | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | It’s So Easy | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Natoma | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | My Queen Michelle | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Janelle Dreams | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tokyo | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | River Sonata | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Justin Time | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6A | 6 | Flatexcel | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4A | 4 | Celtic Treasure | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Eclipsed Moon | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Luvinmeiseasy | 2.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Legal Gump | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Trilogy | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Drummer Don | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mia Bella Rossa | 1.60 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Evil Woman | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Shero | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Always a Queen | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Squan’s Kingdom | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Oceano Rosso | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Loyal Aficionada | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Christine’s Cosmo | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Pretty Pants | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Swift Factor | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | One for Sure | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Victoria Belle | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lady Ryan | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Vino Y Queso | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Mia | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Le Weekend | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Gypsy Janie | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dilly Dilly Philly | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Fleeterthan | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Zensational Dixie | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Blue Shine | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Baby Bam Bam | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Spirit Special | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Appealing Future | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Society’s Tiger | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dancing Bull | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Aced | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Federal Case | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wild Caramelo | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Graves Island | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | The Robert | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Magic Michael | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Glory Song | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Woodbury | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Skipin On Orchard | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Grand Oasis | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lost in Rome | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Early Entry | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pharaoh’s City | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hey Jabber Jaw | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mass Appeal | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tomater Gator | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Won Dozen Banks | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nick the Cardshark | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Get the W | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.