April 22, 2021 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 6 | Triple Americano | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Full Court Press | 1.20 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Zuzudini | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7A | 5 | Principino | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Enroule | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Our Lucky Man | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tapit’s Flashback | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6A | 6 | Run White Rabbit | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Principled Stand (GB) | 0.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Aasr | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Red Storm Risen | 1.80 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | American Rule | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | So High (GB) | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Fame to Famous | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mister Winston | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Dust Devil | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Democratic Values | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Levelplayingfield | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Adele Kat | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ostracize | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Zerenia | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Determined Heart | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Becca’s Wish | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Exotic Cat | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Streetcar Jones | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Patti D | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Crystal Orb | 50.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | The Sicarii | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Square Shooter | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Zealous | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Clench | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fed Funds | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Always Sunshine | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Promo Code | 50.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Battle Station | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Maxwell Esquire | 0.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fast Getaway | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Smooth B | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Quarky | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Aristocratic | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ryan’s Cat | 1.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Montauk Traffic | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Ego Man | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Higher Truth (IRE) | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Spatial | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Coalition Building | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Community Adjusted | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ceant | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Impeach Me | 20.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lisheen | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Firing Carol | 50.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Aunt Kat | 1.60 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ruvies in Time | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pleasant Orb | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Saratoga Affair | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Whispering Pines | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | She’s a Black Belt | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sport Model | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Undetectable | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Mondeuse | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Lass | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Mazal Eighteen | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | New York Banker | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Nebo | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sailor’s Treasure | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Trick the Universe | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wish for Magic | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bellamy’spartygirl | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gray Lollipops | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Little Ms Scarlet | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Happy Hill Lil | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 11 | Madame Rose | 30.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.