April 23, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Maxi Moon | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Social Equality | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Colliery | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Geometrico | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mr. Mazza | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kolohe Prince | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Extraction Will | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gran Patron | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Halo’s Dance | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | New York Style | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Omega Moon | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Enano Astray | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Alejandro’s Team | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Handsome Prince | 4.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ralston | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chipshape | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Monte Ne | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Tropicat | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Belgrano | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Baby Boomer | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Legal Deal | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Kobe Fifty Two | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Machiavelli | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Lucy’s Cakes Fly | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Irazu | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Foxtrot Seville | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Look What I Found | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Frankie’s Girl | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Careless Heiress | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Twirling Grace | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Alexandra Am I | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | She’s So Serious | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Everthree | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Pink Fizz | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lyrical | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dancing Destroyer | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Between Dreams | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Go Gator Girl Go | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Queen Abarrio | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Noble Maria | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mystic Comin Home | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Takestwotowiggle | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Just Smok’n | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Basha | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cowtown | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pleasecallmeback | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pillar Mountain (IRE) | 1.40 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Go Poke the Bear | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Salute the Colonel | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mr Tito’s | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Trappezoid | 1.40 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Aycapote | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Please Sit Down | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mustang Cat | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Textpectation | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Taamer | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Devoted Kitten | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Golden Decision | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Imperial Mission | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Fig Jelly | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Pioneer Man | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Proliferate | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gemonteer | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Go Mike | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Outshine | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Durocher | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Timmy M. | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Accessible | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Miss Lamarr | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bahamian Rhapsody | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Silver Package | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Winnipeg Wonder | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Art Rock | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sassy Cat | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | La Dame | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cidstayinurlaine | 15.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Emperor’s Song | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Flat Out Cool | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Exaggerated Moment | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.