April 23, 2021 Pimlico Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Had the Notion | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nine Martinis | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mary’s Jewel | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Odd Gal | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Swirrlie Shirlie | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Grace Isabella | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hetty G. | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 5 | Higher Purpose | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Five Card Draw | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | No More Talk | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | They Shot Sonny | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Federale | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jack Bo | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Fast Master | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Flat Rate | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Hello Amigo | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Flank Speed | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Deshackled | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | One More Factor | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Magic Mule | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Star of Normandy | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miracle Bobbie | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Guising | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Winston Pegg | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | New York One | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Silver Sun | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | So Dialed In | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Swing Your Sword | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stretch the Truth | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Communication Fail | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Our Hoisted Mast | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Cohodes | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hazels Little Man | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Bourbon Bryce | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Booyakasha | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Boss Life | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Quest of Glory | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | True Shipman | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Not Telling | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Fifty Seven Chevy | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Isabella’s Magic | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Little Bay | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Whats the Chances | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Trip to Freedom | 1.80 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Behind the Couch | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Castilleja | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fancy Princess | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Devilish Affair | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Princess Adira | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Supreme Blessing | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Old Bay | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Laughin’ Place | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Juror Number Four | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Proper Attire | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Be Good | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Sarah’s Treasure | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Naughty Thoughts | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Gimme’s Goldengirl | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Nightlife | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Bethabara | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Margie’s Heaven | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 6 | Edie Meeny Miny Mo | 3.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Despeight All Odds | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Likely Choice | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Mission Trail | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Response Time | 10.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dare to Promise | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sizzling Hot | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Galofmydreams | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Monster Rising | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7A | 7 | Oxbow Creek | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12A | 12 | Mountain Lilly | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Erica Jane | 15.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | American Fleet | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Omati | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Demo Doctor | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Luxero | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Eric’s Empire | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Lost My Vowcher | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Twitty City | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jack Gave Back | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | One More Chapter | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Triple Titos | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Wicked Finn | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Judi Blue Eyes | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Desbordes | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ski Bunny | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Home Dixie | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | One Last Trial | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fairy Wish | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gold Finch | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Moonsafe | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Zen Pi | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Going to the Lead | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Charm City Band | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Degas | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | New Frontier | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mosby’s Ranger | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Goodluckjohnathan | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Tiz Golden | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.