April 25, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Happy Interest | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cash Up Front | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Science | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Water Wizard | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Working Overtime | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Luckytohavemyvicki | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ides of March | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Boca Girl | 30.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Catirusia | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Addilyn | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kerik | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | I’m a Coco Pebbles | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Romantical Note | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Greenwood Drive | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Simplify (ARG) | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pitufina | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Cocotara | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Julie Bird (IRE) | 1.20 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hashtag Lucky | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Chispita | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kay’s Project | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mama Longlegs | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Darn Tootin | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Seamialaugh | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Free to Fly | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Subsidiary | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Liza Star | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Papa’s Little Girl | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | The Great Kath | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wedontbelieveher | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Double Chocolate | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sweet Mission | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hana Lima (GB) | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Minglewood (GB) | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Blue Twirlin | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Stone Town | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Starship Nterprise | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Check Twice | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Frankel At Ascot (FR) | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Mr. Tip | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Accessible | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Light Fury | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Semper Fi | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | American Ninja | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Digital Footprint | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mr Matuschek | 15.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Charliecando | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Pro Quality | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Scar | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wandering West | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Tonalism | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Danville | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Nixon Joy (ARG) | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Examiner | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Rebelde | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Smile Bryan | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Positive Phil | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Guaco | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Beach Traffic | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Big Man Bob | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wise to Listen | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sea Trident | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Beinfun | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Memorable | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Another Softball | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Diamonds Enjoy | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Sound Machine | 1.60 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dance d’Oro | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Crumb Bun | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sonar | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lenzi’s Lucky Lady | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Compensate | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Victory Crusade | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Fear the Deer | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Channeling | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Viking Plunder | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Farm Strong | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tone Feelin | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Warp Speed Baby | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lightning Rod Carl | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bryton’s D J | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Baltimore Jack | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Yankee Batboy | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.